Argentina. Regional league
Juventud Puerto Tirol - Puerto-Riko (Zh)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Juventud Puerto Tirol — 86%
Pure model vs market (1 · Juventud Puerto Tirol): model 39% · market 18% Δ +21 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Juventud Puerto Tirol 85.8%, draw 9.3%, win Puerto-Riko (Zh) 4.9%. Model favourite — Juventud Puerto Tirol.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Mexico (Zh): probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.13)
- • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Juventud Puerto Tirol - Puerto-Riko (Zh) July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.00 / X 3.20 / 2 1.72
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Now in play
score 0:1 · 60'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
60'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
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Juventud Puerto Tirol - Puerto-Riko (Zh)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.07 48.3% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| x2 | 9.90 10.1% | 1.16 86.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.24 80.7% | |
| X | 3.73 26.8% |
| 29.00 3.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.66 60.2% |
Juventud Puerto Tirol
Australia (Zh)
Australia (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyJuventud Puerto Tirol - Puerto-Riko (Zh)
Match history
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The Juventud Puerto Tirol - Puerto-Riko (Zh) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form