Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings
9 de Julio Rafaela meet Douglas Haig on August 2, 2026 in the Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 9 de Julio Rafaela — 43%
Pure model vs market (1 · 9 de Julio Rafaela): model 41% · market 44% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win 9 de Julio Rafaela 42.9%, draw 30.8%, win Douglas Haig 26.3%. Model favourite — 9 de Julio Rafaela.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.71 58.5% |
| yes | 2.01 49.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| x2 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.64 61.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| X | 1.90 52.6% |
| 4.69 21.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.24 44.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.58 63.3% |
9 de Julio Rafaela
Duglas Khaig
Defensores Belgrano
Khimnasiya E.R.
Atletico Escobar
Sportivo Las-Parekhas
Douglas Haig
9 de Julio Rafaela
Sportivo Las-Parekhas
El Linqueno
Defensores Belgrano
Full head-to-head history9 de Julio Rafaela - Douglas Haig
The 9 de Julio Rafaela - Douglas Haig breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
