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31.07.2026 17:30 UTC
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31.07.2026 17:30 UTC
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Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings
Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Sportivo Belgrano — 50%
Model estimate: win Chivilcoy 29.1%, draw 20.6%, win Sportivo Belgrano 50.3%. Model favourite — Sportivo Belgrano.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Sportivo Belgrano (odds2.45)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Sportivo Belgrano: probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.45)
- • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
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Match center
Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Chivilcoy
-
29.1%
Draw
-
20.6%
draw risk
Sportivo Belgrano
-
50.3%
model pick
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
29.1% / 20.6% / 50.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,580 / 1,516
Chivilcoy / Sportivo Belgrano
RD
184 / 182
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,211-1,949 / 1,152-1,880
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Match center
Chivilcoy
D
D
W
D
L
Chivilcoy
2:2
Defensores Belgrano
Defensores Belgrano
Chivilcoy
1:1
Khimnasiya E.R.
Khimnasiya E.R.
Chivilcoy
1:0
El Linqueno
El Linqueno
Chivilcoy
0:0
Sportivo Las-Parekhas
Sportivo Las-Parekhas
Chivilcoy
0:1
Sportivo Belgrano
Sportivo Belgrano
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
6
Points
Sportivo Belgrano
D
D
D
L
W
Sportivo Belgrano
2:2
Atletico Escobar
Atletico Escobar
Sportivo Belgrano
0:0
Sportivo Las-Parekhas
Sportivo Las-Parekhas
Sportivo Belgrano
1:1
Independente Chivilkoy
Independente Chivilkoy
Sportivo Belgrano
0:1
Khimnasiya E.R.
Khimnasiya E.R.
Sportivo Belgrano
1:0
Chivilcoy
Chivilcoy
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyChivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano
Chivilcoy
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form