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Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings
Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings

Kimberley - Argentino Monte Maiz

Football
Kimberley
Kimberley
- : -
Not started
Argentino Monte Maiz
Argentino Monte Maiz

Kimberley meet Argentino Monte Maiz on August 2, 2026 in the Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kimberley — 47%

1 · Kimberley46.9%
X · draw19.9%
2 · Argentino Monte Maiz33.2%

Model estimate: win Kimberley 46.9%, draw 19.9%, win Argentino Monte Maiz 33.2%. Model favourite — Kimberley.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kimberley (odds1.92) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Kimberley: probability 50% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kimberley - Argentino Monte Maiz August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Kimberley. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 2.82 / 2 4.43

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 47.3%
X 32.2%
2 20.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 47.3% @ 1.92 / X 32.2% @ 2.82 / 2 20.5% @ 4.43
Match center

Kimberley - Argentino Monte Maiz

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kimberley 47.3% 46.9% market and model agree
Draw 32.2% 19.9% draw risk
Argentino Monte Maiz 20.5% 33.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.9% / 19.9% / 33.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,480 / 1,587 Kimberley / Argentino Monte Maiz
RD 211 / 189 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,058-1,901 / 1,209-1,964 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.43 market consensus · no value · model 33.2%
X 2.82 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.92 market consensus · no value · model 46.9%
Handicap
2 +1 1.37 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.90 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.51 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.39 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.51 66.2%
yes 2.39 41.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.68 37.3%
X 1.81 55.3%
5.40 18.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 0.5 2.25 44.4%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.90 34.5%
1.37 73.0%
Match center
Kimberley
D W L
24.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Kimberley 1:1 Sirkulo DeportivoSirkulo Deportivo
05.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Kimberley 2:1 Sol-de-MayoSol-de-Mayo
07.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Kimberley 0:1 SantamarinaSantamarina
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Argentino Monte Maiz
D D D W L
26.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Argentino Monte Maiz 1:1 San-Martin MendosaSan-Martin Mendosa
05.07 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Argentino Monte Maiz 2:2 ChipollettiChipolletti
14.06 12:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Argentino Monte Maiz 2:2 Fundason AmigosFundason Amigos
07.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Argentino Monte Maiz 2:0 Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon
31.05 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Argentino Monte Maiz 0:2 Kosta-BravaKosta-Brava
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points