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Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings
Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings
03.08.2026 18:00 UTC
03.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings

Kimberley Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz

Football
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Kimberley Mar del Plata
- : -
Not started
Argentino Monte Maíz
Argentino Monte Maíz

Kimberley Mar del Plata meet Argentino Monte Maíz on August 3, 2026 in the Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kimberley Mar del Plata — 47%

1 · Kimberley Mar del Plata46.9%
X · draw20.0%
2 · Argentino Monte Maíz33.2%

Model estimate: win Kimberley Mar del Plata 46.9%, draw 20.0%, win Argentino Monte Maíz 33.2%. Model favourite — Kimberley Mar del Plata.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kimberley Mar del Plata (odds1.92) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Kimberley: probability 50% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kimberley Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Kimberley Mar del Plata. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.93 / X 2.93 / 2 4.14

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 47.1%
X 31.0%
2 21.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Torneo Federal A
League table
Kimberley Mar del Plata
#1026 ptsGP 166-8-215:9
Argentino Monte Maíz
#1823 ptsGP 165-8-316:12
Best price across 10 books
1 1.97 Superbet
X 3.00 Bet365
2 4.40 William Hill

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kimberley Mar del Plata
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.01 Conceded 0.50 xG 1.01 xGA 0.88
Argentino Monte Maíz
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.20 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.01 xGA 1.01

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Rating 1564
Argentino Monte Maíz
Rating 1568

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kimberley Mar del Plata 1 : 1 Argentino Monte Maíz
11.96
X2.85
24.16

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 47.1% @ 1.93 / X 31.0% @ 2.93 / 2 21.9% @ 4.14
Match center

Kimberley Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kimberley Mar del Plata 47.1% 46.9% market and model agree
Draw 31.0% 20.0% draw risk
Argentino Monte Maíz 21.9% 33.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.9% / 20.0% / 33.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,480 / 1,587 Kimberley / Argentino Monte Maiz
RD 211 / 189 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,058-1,901 / 1,209-1,964 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.14 market consensus · no value · model 33.2%
X 2.93 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.93 market consensus · no value · model 46.9%
Handicap
2 +1 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.80 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.90 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.37 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.54 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.54 64.9%
yes 2.32 43.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.73 36.6%
X 1.80 55.6%
5.30 18.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 0.5 2.15 46.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.90 34.5%
1.37 73.0%
1.37 73.0%
2.80 35.7%
Match center
Kimberley Mar del Plata
D W L
24.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Kimberley Mar del Plata 1:1 Sirkulo DeportivoSirkulo Deportivo
05.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Kimberley Mar del Plata 2:1 Sol-de-MayoSol-de-Mayo
07.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Kimberley Mar del Plata 0:1 SantamarinaSantamarina
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Argentino Monte Maíz
D D D W L
26.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Argentino Monte Maíz 1:1 San-Martin MendosaSan-Martin Mendosa
05.07 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Argentino Monte Maíz 2:2 ChipollettiChipolletti
14.06 12:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Argentino Monte Maíz 2:2 Fundason AmigosFundason Amigos
07.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Argentino Monte Maíz 2:0 Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon
31.05 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Argentino Monte Maíz 0:2 Kosta-BravaKosta-Brava
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points