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31.07.2026 17:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 17:00 UTC
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San Martin Margarita Belen - Sol de America
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 San Martin Margarita Belen — 60%
Model estimate: win San Martin Margarita Belen 59.5%, draw 18.5%, win Sol de America 22.0%. Model favourite — San Martin Margarita Belen.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1San Martin Margarita Belen (odds1.50)
Score 2:1
confidence 55%
- • Model backs San-Martin Formosa: probability 55% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
- • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction San Martin Margarita Belen - Sol de America July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: San Martin Margarita Belen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 3.70 / 2 6.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 ✓ Pick
60.7%
X
24.6%
2
14.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
San Martin Margarita Belen
0
:
4
Sol de America
122.00
X8.60
21.06
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
San Martin Margarita Belen - Sol de America
Form
5/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
San Martin Margarita Belen
60.7%
59.5%
market and model agree
Draw
25.3%
18.5%
draw risk
Sol de America
14.0%
22.0%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
59.5% / 18.5% / 22.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,626 / 1,462
San Martin Margarita Belen / Sol de America
RD
300 / 218
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,027-2,226 / 1,026-1,897
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.20
market consensus · no value · model 22.0%
X
3.70
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.50
market consensus · no value · model 59.5%
Double chance
12
1.23
market consensus · no value · model 81.5%
1X
1.09
market consensus · no value · model 78.0%
X2
2.40
market consensus · no value · model 40.5%
Handicap
2 +1
1.85
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.85
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.80
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.40 41.7% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% |
| 6.20 16.1% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
San Martin Margarita BelenWDLDLWDLWL
Sol de AmericaDWDDDWDDDD
H2H 2-2-5, avg 2.22 gls
2026-03-21 · San-Antonio 0:2 9 Oktyabrya
2025-09-30 · San-Antonio 1:1 9 Oktyabrya
2025-09-02 · San-Antonio 2:2 9 Oktyabrya
2025-07-25 · San-Antonio 0:1 9 Oktyabrya
2025-05-16 · San-Antonio 1:2 9 Oktyabrya
Source: ruscore
San Martin Margarita Belen
W
L
D
L
W
San Martin Margarita Belen
1:0
Bartolome Mitre
Bartolome Mitre
San Martin Margarita Belen
0:2
Sarmiento de La Banda
Sarmiento de La Banda
San Martin Margarita Belen
0:0
Khuventud Antoniana
San Martin Margarita Belen
1:3
Boka Yunidos
Boka Yunidos
San Martin Margarita Belen
3:2
Tucuman Central
Tucuman Central
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Sol de America
L
W
L
Sol de America
1:2
Sarmento Resistentsiya
Sarmento Resistentsiya
Sol de America
1:0
Tucuman Central
Tucuman Central
Sol de America
0:2
Sarmiento de La Banda
Sarmiento de La Banda
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
0.7
Scored
1.3
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySan Martin Margarita Belen - Sol de America
San Martin Margarita Belen
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The San Martin Margarita Belen - Sol de America breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form