Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings
San Martin Formosa - Sol de América
San Martin Formosa go head-to-head with Sol de América on August 2, 2026 in the Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings.
Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 San Martin Formosa — 51%
Pure model vs market (1 · San Martin Formosa): model 53% · market 53% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win San Martin Formosa 51.4%, draw 28.0%, win Sol de América 20.6%. Model favourite — San Martin Formosa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs San-Martin Formosa: probability 55% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
- • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction San Martin Formosa - Sol de América August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.34 / 2 5.10
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Torneo Federal AAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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San Martin Formosa - Sol de América
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.71 58.5% |
| yes | 2.01 49.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.13 88.5% | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.96 51.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.23 44.8% | |
| X | 2.02 49.5% |
| 6.00 16.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.71 58.5% |
Form & head-to-head
San Martin Formosa
Bartolome Mitre
Sarmiento de La Banda
Boka Yunidos
Tucuman Central
Sol de América
Sarmento Resistentsiya
Tucuman Central
Sarmiento de La Banda
Full head-to-head historySan Martin Formosa - Sol de América
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The San Martin Formosa - Sol de América breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form