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Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings
Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings
02.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings

San Martin Formosa - Sol de América

Football
San Martin Formosa
San Martin Formosa
- : -
Not started
Sol de América
Sol de América

San Martin Formosa go head-to-head with Sol de América on August 2, 2026 in the Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap pobediteley Standings.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 San Martin Formosa51%

Pure model vs market (1 · San Martin Formosa): model 53% · market 53% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · San Martin Formosa51.4%
X · draw28.0%
2 · Sol de América20.6%

Model estimate: win San Martin Formosa 51.4%, draw 28.0%, win Sol de América 20.6%. Model favourite — San Martin Formosa.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1San Martin Formosa (odds1.50) Score 2:1 confidence 55%
  • Model backs San-Martin Formosa: probability 55% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction San Martin Formosa - Sol de América August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: San Martin Formosa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.25 / 2 5.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 52.9%
X 28.8%
2 18.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Torneo Federal A
League table
San Martin Formosa
#430 ptsGP 169-3-425:19
Sol de América
#1026 ptsGP 168-2-619:14
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
San Martin Formosa
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.69 Conceded 1.39 xG 1.41 xGA 0.90
Sol de América
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.01

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
San Martin Formosa
Rating 1594
Sol de América
Rating 1544

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

San Martin Formosa 1 : 3 Sol de América

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 52.9% @ 1.77 / X 28.8% @ 3.25 / 2 18.3% @ 5.10
Match center

San Martin Formosa - Sol de América

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
San Martin Formosa 51.3% 51.4% market and model agree
Draw 28.4% 28.0% draw risk
Sol de América 20.3% 20.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.4% / 28.0% / 20.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,626 / 1,462 San Martin Margarita Belen / Sol de America
RD 300 / 218 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,027-2,226 / 1,026-1,897 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.87 market consensus · no value · model 20.6%
X 3.23 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.74 market consensus · no value · model 51.4%
Double chance
12 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 72.0%
1X 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 79.4%
X2 1.93 market consensus · no value · model 48.6%
Handicap
2 +1 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.08 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.62 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.62 61.7%
yes 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0%
x2 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.34 42.7%
X 1.91 52.4%
6.20 16.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.23 44.8%
Under 1 1.58 63.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

San Martin Margarita BelenWDLDLWDLWL
Sol de AmericaDWDDDWDDDD
H2H 2-2-5, avg 2.22 gls
2026-03-21 · San-Antonio 0:2 9 Oktyabrya
2025-09-30 · San-Antonio 1:1 9 Oktyabrya
2025-09-02 · San-Antonio 2:2 9 Oktyabrya
2025-07-25 · San-Antonio 0:1 9 Oktyabrya
2025-05-16 · San-Antonio 1:2 9 Oktyabrya
Source: ruscore
San Martin Formosa
W L D L W
26.07 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
San Martin Formosa 1:0 Bartolome MitreBartolome Mitre
12.07 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
San Martin Formosa 0:2 Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda
05.07 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
San Martin Formosa 0:0 Khuventud Antoniana
14.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
San Martin Formosa 1:3 Boka YunidosBoka Yunidos
07.06 17:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
San Martin Formosa 3:2 Tucuman CentralTucuman Central
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Sol de América
L W L
26.07 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Sol de América 1:2 Sarmento ResistentsiyaSarmento Resistentsiya
05.07 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Sol de América 1:0 Tucuman CentralTucuman Central
07.06 17:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Sol de América 0:2 Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points