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Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Not started

Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings

Atletico Escobar - Boka Yunidos

Football
Atletico Escobar
Atletico Escobar
- : -
Not started
Boka Yunidos
Boka Yunidos
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Atletico Escobar — 63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico Escobar): model 54% · market 65% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Atletico Escobar ✓ Pick63.5%
market65%
X · draw23.2%
market23%
2 · Boka Yunidos13.3%
market12%

Model estimate: win Atletico Escobar 63.5%, draw 23.2%, win Boka Yunidos 13.3%. Model favourite — Atletico Escobar.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Atletico Escobar (odds1.42) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Atletico Escobar: probability 50% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
  • • no edge over the line (-20 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Escobar - Boka Yunidos August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Escobar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.00 / 2 7.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 ✓ Pick 64.5%
X 23.2%
2 12.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 64.5% @ 1.44 / X 23.2% @ 4.00 / 2 12.2% @ 7.60
Match center

Atletico Escobar - Boka Yunidos

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atletico Escobar 64.1% 63.5% market and model agree
Draw 23.3% 23.2% draw risk
Boka Yunidos 12.6% 13.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 63.5% / 23.2% / 13.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,667 / 1,469 Atletico Escobar / Boka Yunidos
RD 199 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,268-2,065 / 1,083-1,855 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.37 market consensus · no value · model 13.3%
X 3.91 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.42 market consensus · no value · model 63.5%
Double chance
12 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 76.8%
1X 1.06 market consensus · no value · model 86.7%
X2 2.58 market consensus · no value · model 36.5%
Handicap
2 +1 1.96 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.41 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.41 70.9%
yes 2.71 36.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
1x 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3%
x2 2.50 40.0% 2.65 37.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.94 51.6%
X 2.11 47.4%
8.20 12.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 0.5 2.74 36.5%
Match center
Atletico Escobar
D D W W
24.07 21:35 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Escobar 2:2 Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano
05.07 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Escobar 1:1 Defensores BelgranoDefensores Belgrano
13.06 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Escobar 2:0 9 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela
07.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Escobar 1:0 El LinquenoEl Linqueno
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Boka Yunidos
L W W L W
26.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Boka Yunidos 0:3 Khuventud Antoniana
05.07 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Boka Yunidos 2:0 Sarmento ResistentsiyaSarmento Resistentsiya
14.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Boka Yunidos 3:1 San-Martin FormosaSan-Martin Formosa
06.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Boka Yunidos 0:2 Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas
31.05 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Boka Yunidos 2:1 Bartolome MitreBartolome Mitre
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points