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Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
02.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Not started

Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings

Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmento Resistentsiya

Football
Defensores de Vilelas
Defensores de Vilelas
- : -
Not started
Sarmento Resistentsiya
Sarmento Resistentsiya

Defensores de Vilelas take on Sarmento Resistentsiya on August 2, 2026 in the Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Defensores de Vilelas56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Defensores de Vilelas): model 35% · market 59% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Defensores de Vilelas56.1%
X · draw19.7%
2 · Sarmento Resistentsiya24.2%

Model estimate: win Defensores de Vilelas 56.1%, draw 19.7%, win Sarmento Resistentsiya 24.2%. Model favourite — Defensores de Vilelas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Defensores de Vilelas (odds1.55) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • Model backs Defensores de Vilelas: probability 52% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.55)
  • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmento Resistentsiya August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Defensores de Vilelas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.90 / 2 5.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 59.0%
X 24.5%
2 16.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Defensores de Vilelas 1 : 2 Sarmento Resistentsiya
13.74
X3.22
22.04

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 59.0% @ 1.62 / X 24.5% @ 3.90 / 2 16.5% @ 5.80
Match center

Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmento Resistentsiya

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Defensores de Vilelas 58.6% 56.1% market and model agree
Draw 23.6% 19.7% draw risk
Sarmento Resistentsiya 17.8% 24.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.1% / 19.7% / 24.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,353 / 1,543 Defensores de Vilelas / Sarmento Resistentsiya
RD 208 / 196 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 937-1,770 / 1,151-1,935 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.38 market consensus · no value · model 24.2%
X 3.73 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.56 market consensus · no value · model 56.1%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 80.3%
1X 1.10 market consensus · no value · model 75.8%
X2 2.44 market consensus · no value · model 43.9%
Handicap
2 +1 1.85 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.85 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.73 57.8%
yes 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.21 82.6%
1x 1.10 90.9%
x2 2.44 41.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.27 44.1%
X 2.10 47.6%
5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 0.5 2.74 36.5%
Match center
Defensores de Vilelas
L L W L
12.07 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Defensores de Vilelas 0:1 Bartolome MitreBartolome Mitre
14.06 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Defensores de Vilelas 0:2 Sarmento ResistentsiyaSarmento Resistentsiya
06.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Defensores de Vilelas 2:0 Boka YunidosBoka Yunidos
31.05 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Defensores de Vilelas 0:2 Tucuman CentralTucuman Central
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points
Sarmento Resistentsiya
W L W L
26.07 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Sarmento Resistentsiya 2:1 Sol de AmericaSol de America
05.07 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Sarmento Resistentsiya 0:2 Boka YunidosBoka Yunidos
14.06 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Sarmento Resistentsiya 2:0 Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas
31.05 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Sarmento Resistentsiya 0:1 Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points