Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
Defensores de Vilelas take on Sarmento Resistentsiya on August 3, 2026 in the Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings.
Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Defensores de Vilelas — 44%
Pure model vs market (1 · Defensores de Vilelas): model 35% · market 44% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Defensores de Vilelas 43.8%, draw 29.9%, win Sarmento Resistentsiya 26.3%. Model favourite — Defensores de Vilelas.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.84 54.4% |
| yes | 1.86 53.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% |
| x2 | 1.64 61.0% | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| X | 1.93 51.8% |
| 4.64 21.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 1 | 2.06 48.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.74 36.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.68 59.5% |
Defensores de Vilelas
Bartolome Mitre
Sarmento Resistentsiya
Boka Yunidos
Tucuman Central
Sarmento Resistentsiya
Sol de America
Boka Yunidos
Defensores de Vilelas
Sarmiento de La Banda
Full head-to-head historyDefensores de Vilelas - Sarmento Resistentsiya
The Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmento Resistentsiya breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
