Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
San Martín Mendoza - Costa Brava
San Martín Mendoza take on Costa Brava on August 2, 2026 in the Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings.
Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 San Martín Mendoza — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · San Martín Mendoza): model 56% · market 44% Δ +12 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win San Martín Mendoza 44.7%, draw 31.4%, win Costa Brava 23.9%. Model favourite — San Martín Mendoza.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs San-Martin Mendosa: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.38)
- • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction San Martín Mendoza - Costa Brava August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 2.90 / 2 3.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Torneo Federal AHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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San Martín Mendoza - Costa Brava
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.44 69.4% |
| yes | 2.59 38.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.34 74.6% | 1.37 73.0% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% |
| x2 | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.88 34.7% | |
| X | 1.79 55.9% |
| 4.93 20.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.37 42.2% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Winline | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
| Fonbet | 2.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Betcity | 2.14 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
San Martín Mendoza
Argentino MM
Fundason Amigos
Deportivo Rincon
Chipolletti
Costa Brava
Deportivo Rincon
Argentino MM
Full head-to-head historySan Martín Mendoza - Costa Brava
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The San Martín Mendoza - Costa Brava breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form