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Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
02.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Not started

Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings

San Martín Mendoza - Costa Brava

Football
San Martín Mendoza
San Martín Mendoza
- : -
Not started
Costa Brava
Costa Brava

San Martín Mendoza take on Costa Brava on August 2, 2026 in the Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 San Martín Mendoza45%

Pure model vs market (1 · San Martín Mendoza): model 56% · market 44% Δ +12 pp model estimates above the market

1 · San Martín Mendoza44.7%
X · draw31.4%
2 · Costa Brava23.9%

Model estimate: win San Martín Mendoza 44.7%, draw 31.4%, win Costa Brava 23.9%. Model favourite — San Martín Mendoza.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1San Martín Mendoza (odds2.38) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs San-Martin Mendosa: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.38)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction San Martín Mendoza - Costa Brava August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: San Martín Mendoza. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 2.90 / 2 3.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 43.9%
X 31.8%
2 24.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Torneo Federal A
League table
San Martín Mendoza
#2419 ptsGP 164-7-511:15
Costa Brava
#2818 ptsGP 164-6-612:13
Best price across 8 books
1 2.13 Dafabet
X 3.00 Betfair
2 3.90 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
San Martín Mendoza
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.00 xG 0.95 xGA 1.07
Costa Brava
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.70 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.06 xGA 0.88 Corners 3.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
San Martín Mendoza
Rating 1516 xG 1.22 Win 42%
Costa Brava
Rating 1504 xG 0.97 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

San Martín Mendoza 0 : 0 Costa Brava
12.09
X2.85
23.86

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Market 1 43.9% @ 2.10 / X 31.8% @ 2.90 / 2 24.3% @ 3.80
Match center

San Martín Mendoza - Costa Brava

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
San Martín Mendoza 44.0% 44.7% market and model agree
Draw 32.0% 31.4% draw risk
Costa Brava 24.0% 23.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.7% / 31.4% / 23.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,622 / 1,359 Chicago Red Stars (w) / Atletico Costa Brava
RD 205 / 279 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,213-2,032 / 800-1,918 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.80 market consensus · no value · model 23.9%
X 2.86 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.08 market consensus · no value · model 44.7%
Double chance
12 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 68.6%
1X 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 76.1%
X2 1.65 market consensus · no value · model 55.3%
Handicap
2 0 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.44 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.44 69.4%
yes 2.59 38.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.34 74.6% 1.37 73.0%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%
x2 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.88 34.7%
X 1.79 55.9%
4.93 20.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.52 65.8%
Under 0.5 2.37 42.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Chicago Red Stars (w)WDWWLWWLDD
Atletico Costa BravaWDDDWWWDWL
H2H 4-3-2, avg 2.33 gls
2026-02-04 · Atletiko Mineyro 0:1 Red Bull Bragantino
2025-11-16 · Atletiko Mineyro 0:2 Red Bull Bragantino
2025-08-03 · Atletiko Mineyro 2:1 Red Bull Bragantino
2024-09-22 · Atletiko Mineyro 3:0 Red Bull Bragantino
2024-06-12 · Atletiko Mineyro 2:1 Red Bull Bragantino
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.14 (Betcity) · X 3.45 (Winline) · 2 3.45 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.1 3.4 3.4
Winline 2.12 3.45 3.45
Fonbet 2.1 3.4 3.4
Betcity 2.14 3.4 3.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison
San Martín Mendoza
D D W W
26.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
San Martín Mendoza 1:1 Argentino MMArgentino MM
12.07 12:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
San Martín Mendoza 0:0 Fundason AmigosFundason Amigos
05.07 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
San Martín Mendoza 1:0 Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon
31.05 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
San Martín Mendoza 1:0 ChipollettiChipolletti
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.3 Conceded
8 Points
Costa Brava
L W
25.07 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Costa Brava 0:1 Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon
31.05 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Costa Brava 2:0 Argentino MMArgentino MM
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points