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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
13.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Atletico Escobar - 9 de Julio Rafaela

Football
Atletico Escobar
Atletico Escobar
2 : 0
Finished
9 de Julio Rafaela
9 de Julio Rafaela

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Escobar - 9 de Julio Rafaela June 13, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Escobar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 2.80 / 2 3.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 40.3%
X 33.1%
2 26.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Torneo Federal A
League table
Atletico Escobar
#814 ptsGP 134-2-714:22
WWLDL
9 de Julio Rafaela
#319 ptsGP 135-4-421:17
LDDLW
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Atletico Escobar
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.89
1 +0.00 X +0.00 2 +0.00 1 (DNB) +0.00
9 de Julio Rafaela
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.80 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.26 xGA 0.92
1 -0.31 X +2.08 2 -3.40 1 (DNB) +1.03

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Atletico Escobar
Rating 1401
9 de Julio Rafaela
Rating 1579

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Atletico Escobar - 9 de Julio Rafaela

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 market consensus · line only
X 2.76 market consensus · line only
1 2.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.18 84.8%
yes 4.10 24.4%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.07 93.5%
8.00 12.5%
7.10 14.1%
10.00 10.0%
6.30 15.9%
1.04 96.2%
1.05 95.2%
1.02 98.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 1.5 1.48 67.6% 1.47 68.0%
Over 2 1.82 55.0%
Over 2.5 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 5.10 19.6%
Over 3.5 6.70 14.9%
Over 4.5 9.50 10.5%
Over 5.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0%
Under 2 1.85 54.1%
Under 2.5 1.56 64.1% 1.55 64.5% 1.11 90.1%
Under 3.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 4.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 5.5 1.03 97.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 0.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Atletico Escobar
W
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Escobar 1:0 El LinquenoEl Linqueno
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
9 de Julio Rafaela
D D
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
9 de Julio Rafaela 2:2 Sportivo Las-ParekhasSportivo Las-Parekhas
31.05 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
9 de Julio Rafaela 2:2 Independente ChivilkoyIndependente Chivilkoy
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points