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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
12.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
12.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Bartolome Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas

Futbol
Bartolome Mitre
Bartolome Mitre
1 : 0
Finished
Defensores de Vilelas
Defensores de Vilelas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bartolome Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas July 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Bartolome Mitre. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.75 / 2 6.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 59.3%
X 25.6%
2 15.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Torneo Federal A
League table
Bartolome Mitre
#226 ptsGP 157-5-313:6
WLDDW
Defensores de Vilelas
#619 ptsGP 166-1-921:26
LWLWL
Best price across 10 books
1 1.62 Betano
X 3.60 Betfair
2 6.31 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Bartolome Mitre
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.10 Conceded 0.50 xG 1.18 xGA 0.90
Defensores de Vilelas
W-D-L 4-0-6 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.70 xG 0.96 xGA 1.55 Corners 1.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Bartolome Mitre
Rating 1577
Defensores de Vilelas
Rating 1478

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Bartolome Mitre 4 : 1 Defensores de Vilelas
11.59
X3.20
26.31

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 18:16 UTC
1 61% ✓ favourite
X 25%
2 13%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 Bet:1
Claude updated11.07.2026 18:19 UTC
1 56% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 16%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (Mitre ne proigraet)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 61% 25% 13% 2:0 Under 2.5 — 1
Claude 56% 28% 16% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X (Mitre ne proigraet)

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Bartolome Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.30 market consensus · line only
X 3.39 market consensus · line only
1 1.59 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.08 market consensus · line only
X2 2.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.19 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.60 62.5%
yes 2.19 45.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7%
x2 2.13 47.0% 2.25 44.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.14 46.7%
X 2.04 49.0%
6.60 15.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.99 50.3%
Under 1 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Bartolome Mitre
L
31.05 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Bartolome Mitre 1:2 Boka YunidosBoka Yunidos
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Defensores de Vilelas
L W L
14.06 17:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Defensores de Vilelas 0:2 Sarmento ResistentsiyaSarmento Resistentsiya
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Defensores de Vilelas 2:0 Boka YunidosBoka Yunidos
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Defensores de Vilelas 0:2 Tucuman CentralTucuman Central
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points