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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
14.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

CD Maipu - Social Pariacoto

Football
CD Maipu
CD Maipu
0 : 0
Finished
Social Pariacoto
Social Pariacoto

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction CD Maipu - Social Pariacoto June 14, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: CD Maipu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / X 10.50 / 2 3.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 30.4%
1 73.0%
X 7.3%
2 19.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

CD Maipu - Social Pariacoto

Form 0/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.77 market consensus · line only
X 2.84 market consensus · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 6.50 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.95 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.02 98.0%
yes 10.00 10.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 7.50 13.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
3.30 30.3%
5.90 17.0%
11.50 8.7%
1.06 94.3%
9.50 10.5%
1.27 78.7%
1.08 92.6%
1.01 99.0%
6.50 15.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 0.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 1.5 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.27 78.7%
Over 2 1.93 51.8%
Over 2.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 3.5 5.10 19.6%
Over 4.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 5.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 0.5 3.65 27.4%
Under 1.5 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 3.30 30.3%
Under 2 1.75 57.1%
Under 2.5 1.33 75.2%
Under 3.5 1.11 90.1%
Under 4.5 1.03 97.1%
Under 5.5 1.03 97.1%
Match center
Social Pariacoto
W L
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Social Pariacoto 1:0 KimberleyKimberley
31.05 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Social Pariacoto 2:3 Sol-de-MayoSol-de-Mayo
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points