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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
05.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Chicago Red Stars (w) - Deportivo Rincon

Futbol
Chicago Red Stars (w)
Chicago Red Stars (w)
1 : 0
Finished
Deportivo Rincon
Deportivo Rincon
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Chicago Red Stars (w) — 51%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chicago Red Stars (w) - Deportivo Rincon July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Deportivo Rincon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / X 3.95 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 26.5%
1 6.1%
X 20.0%
2 73.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Federal A

Team stats

Chicago Red Stars (w)
LDLDLDWDWL
W 2 • D 4 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 1.1
9 place, 14 pts
Deportivo Rincon
LLWDWDLWLL
W 3 • D 2 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 1.2
6 place, 16 pts
Head-to-head: 2 — Chicago Red Stars (w) 0, draws 0, Deportivo Rincon 2 (goals 0:3)
  • Deportivo Rincón — San Martín Mendoza2026-05-03 1:0
  • Deportivo Rincón — San Martín Mendoza2024-09-15 2:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Chicago Red Stars (w) - Deportivo Rincon

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X 3.95 Fonbet · line only
1 2.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.18 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.70 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.40 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.16 86.2% 1.55 64.5%
yes 4.40 22.7% 2.29 43.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.29 77.5% 1.47 68.0% 1.18 84.8%
1x 1.13 88.5% 1.34 74.6% 5.70 17.5%
x2 1.90 52.6% 1.37 73.0% 1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.45 40.8%
X 1.89 52.9%
5.80 17.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.26 44.3%
Under 1 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Chicago Red Stars (w)
W
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Chicago Red Stars (w) 1:0 ChipollettiChipolletti
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Deportivo Rincon
L L
14.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Deportivo Rincon 1:2 Juventud U.U.Juventud U.U.
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Deportivo Rincon 0:2 Argentino MMArgentino MM
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points