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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Khimnasiya E.R. - 9 de Julio Rafaela

Futbol
Khimnasiya E.R.
Khimnasiya E.R.
3 : 0
Finished
9 de Julio Rafaela
9 de Julio Rafaela

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Khimnasiya E.R. - 9 de Julio Rafaela July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Khimnasiya E.R.. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / X 6.10 / 2 3.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 34.3%
1 66.5%
X 12.2%
2 21.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Federal A

Team stats

Khimnasiya E.R.
LLWDWDWDLL
W 3 • D 3 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:0.6 : 0.9
9 place, 13 pts
9 de Julio Rafaela
LWDWLDDLWW
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 1.3
3 place, 25 pts
Head-to-head: 5 — Khimnasiya E.R. 1, draws 0, 9 de Julio Rafaela 4 (goals 4:11)
  • 9 De Julio Rafaela — Gimnasia de Concepcion del Uruguay2026-05-03 4:1
  • Gimnasia de Concepcion del Uruguay — 9 De Julio Rafaela2025-06-01 1:0
  • 9 De Julio Rafaela — Gimnasia de Concepcion del Uruguay2025-03-30 2:0
  • 9 De Julio Rafaela — Gimnasia de Concepcion del Uruguay2024-07-07 3:1
  • Gimnasia de Concepcion del Uruguay — 9 De Julio Rafaela2024-05-11 1:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Khimnasiya E.R. - 9 de Julio Rafaela

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.44 market consensus · line only
X 6.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.90 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.50 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.20 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.16 86.2% 1.63 61.4%
yes 4.30 23.3% 2.14 46.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6% 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.24 80.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 4.90 20.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.82 35.5%
X 1.87 53.5%
4.55 22.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.23 44.8%
Under 1 1.58 63.3%
Match center
Khimnasiya E.R.
D W
14.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Khimnasiya E.R. 0:0 Independente ChivilkoyIndependente Chivilkoy
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Khimnasiya E.R. 1:0 Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points
9 de Julio Rafaela
L D D
13.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
9 de Julio Rafaela 0:2 Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
9 de Julio Rafaela 2:2 Sportivo Las-ParekhasSportivo Las-Parekhas
31.05 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
9 de Julio Rafaela 2:2 Independente ChivilkoyIndependente Chivilkoy
0 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points