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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
14.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Sarmento Resistentsiya - Defensores de Vilelas

Football
Sarmento Resistentsiya
Sarmento Resistentsiya
2 : 0
Finished
Defensores de Vilelas
Defensores de Vilelas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sarmento Resistentsiya - Defensores de Vilelas June 14, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sarmento Resistentsiya. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.17 / X 1.95 / 2 5.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 55.3%
1 55.0%
X 33.0%
2 11.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Sarmento Resistentsiya - Defensores de Vilelas

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.40 Fonbet · line only
X 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.73 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.14 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.20 83.3%
yes 3.85 26.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.73 57.8%
1x 1.14 87.7%
x2 4.20 23.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.12 89.3%
7.30 13.7%
11.50 8.7%
1.02 98.0%
5.10 19.6%
1.05 95.2%
1.01 99.0%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 0.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 1.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 2 1.67 59.9%
Over 2.5 2.30 43.5% 2.28 43.9% 4.40 22.7%
Over 3.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 4.5 10.50 9.5%
Under 0.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 1.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 2 2.03 49.3%
Under 2.5 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.15 87.0%
Under 3.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 4.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Sarmento Resistentsiya
L
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Sarmento Resistentsiya 0:1 Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Defensores de Vilelas
W L
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Defensores de Vilelas 2:0 Boka YunidosBoka Yunidos
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Defensores de Vilelas 0:2 Tucuman CentralTucuman Central
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points