Match center
Start
05.07.2026 17:00 UTC
05.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Sportivo Belgrano - Independente Chivilkoy
1
:
1
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
1Sportivo Belgrano — 54%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sportivo Belgrano - Independente Chivilkoy July 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Sportivo Belgrano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 8.50 / 2 6.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 27.4%
1
77.7%
X
9.2%
2
13.1%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Federal A
Team stats
Sportivo Belgrano
DWWWWWLWDD
W 6 • D 3 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.4 : 0.4
2 place, 27 pts
Independente Chivilkoy
LLWLDDDDLL
W 1 • D 4 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.3 : 1.3
7 place, 17 pts
Head-to-head: 10 — Sportivo Belgrano 7, draws 1, Independente Chivilkoy 2 (goals 15:8)
- Independiente Chivilcoy — Sportivo Belgrano2026-05-02 0:3
- Independiente Chivilcoy — Sportivo Belgrano2025-08-16 2:3
- Sportivo Belgrano — Independiente Chivilcoy2025-07-11 0:0
- Independiente Chivilcoy — Sportivo Belgrano2025-05-10 1:2
- Sportivo Belgrano — Independiente Chivilcoy2024-06-23 1:0
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Sportivo Belgrano - Independente Chivilkoy
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.70
market consensus · line only
X
8.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.04
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
2.05
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.57
market consensus · line only
2 0
4.60
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
2.26
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.14
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.37
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.11
Fonbet · line only
Yes
5.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.11 90.1% | 1.43 69.9% |
| yes | 5.10 19.6% | 2.64 37.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.29 77.5% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 10.50 9.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.42 41.3% | |
| X | 1.82 55.0% |
| 6.80 14.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 1 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.37 42.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.60 62.5% |
Match center
Sportivo Belgrano
L
W
Sportivo Belgrano
0:1
Khimnasiya E.R.
Khimnasiya E.R.
Sportivo Belgrano
1:0
Chivilcoy
Chivilcoy
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.5
Scored
0.5
Conceded
3
Points
Independente Chivilkoy
D
D
Independente Chivilkoy
0:0
Khimnasiya E.R.
Khimnasiya E.R.
Independente Chivilkoy
2:2
9 de Julio Rafaela
9 de Julio Rafaela
0
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
2
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySportivo Belgrano - Independente Chivilkoy
Sportivo Belgrano
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals