LOW
Total goals: Under 3.5
odds 1.82
hist. ROI +2.0%
Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)
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13.06.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings
Defensores de Glew - Deportivo Metalurgico
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Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Defensores de Glew - Deportivo Metalurgico June 13, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Deportivo Metalurgico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / X 5.60 / 2 1.13
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 47.2%
1
27.7%
X
12.1%
2
60.1%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Torneo Promocional AmateurForm over 10 matches (SStats)
Defensores de Glew
W-D-L 6-0-4
Scored 2.24
Conceded 1.09
1 +0.00
X +0.00
2 +0.00
1 (DNB) +0.00
Deportivo Metalurgico
W-D-L 8-1-1
Scored 1.59
Conceded 0.18
1 +0.00
X +0.00
2 +0.00
1 (DNB) +0.00
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Defensores de Glew
Rating 1545
xG 1.23
Win 36%
Deportivo Metalurgico
Rating 1639
xG 1.28
Win 38%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
VALUE
Fonbet · historical ROI
Extra value signals (not 1x2)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
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Match center
Start
13.06.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center
Defensores de Glew - Deportivo Metalurgico
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.13
Fonbet · line only
X
5.60
Fonbet · line only
1
2.43
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.10
Fonbet · line only
1X
4.70
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
1.02
Fonbet · line only
1 0
10.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.13
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
4.80
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.52
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.35
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.52 65.8% |
| yes | 2.35 42.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.10 90.9% |
| 1x | 4.70 21.3% |
| x2 | 1.02 98.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.08 92.6% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 6.10 16.4% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.02 98.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Bettery | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.23 44.8% | 2.25 44.4% | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% | 4.00 25.0% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% | 10.00 10.0% |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | — | 7.70 13.0% |
| Over 6.5 | — | — | — | 10.50 9.5% |
| Under 0.5 | — | — | — | 5.40 18.5% |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% | — | 4.80 20.8% |
| Under 3.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 4.5 | — | — | 1.52 65.8% | — |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDefensores de Glew - Deportivo Metalurgico
Defensores de Glew
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Defensores de Glew - Deportivo Metalurgico breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form