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Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings
Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings
30.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings

Defensores de Glew - Atletico Bucaramanga U19

Football
Defensores de Glew
Defensores de Glew
2 : 0
Finished
Atletico Bucaramanga U19
Atletico Bucaramanga U19
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Atletico Bucaramanga U1948%

1 · Defensores de Glew31.5%
X · draw20.6%
2 · Atletico Bucaramanga U1947.9%

Model estimate: win Defensores de Glew 31.5%, draw 20.6%, win Atletico Bucaramanga U19 47.9%. Model favourite — Atletico Bucaramanga U19.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Defensores de Glew - Atletico Bucaramanga U19 July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Defensores de Glew 31.5% / X 20.6% / Atletico Bucaramanga U19 47.9%

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Defensores de Glew - Atletico Bucaramanga U19

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 1 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 47.9% fact: home missed / Brier 0.741 / LogLoss 1.154
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 47.9% fact: home missed / Brier 0.741 / LogLoss 1.154
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Defensores de Glew 100.0% 31.5% market favourite
Draw - 20.6% draw risk
Atletico Bucaramanga U19 - 47.9% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.5% / 20.6% / 47.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,640 / 1,565 Defensores de Glew / Atletico Bucaramanga U19
RD 241 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,158-2,121 / 982-2,149 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.5%
Total
Over 2.5 7.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.27 78.7%
yes 3.25 30.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
x2 12.00 8.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
5.40 18.5%
9.00 11.1%
1.10 90.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 7.50 13.3%
Over 3.5 10.50 9.5%
Under 2.5 1.05 95.2%
Under 3.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Defensores de Glew
W D W
28.07 14:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings
Defensores de Glew 3:0 Juventud de BernalJuventud de Bernal
10.07 12:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings
Defensores de Glew 0:0 NautikoNautiko
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings
Defensores de Glew 5:0 Atletico PilarAtletico Pilar
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.7 Scored
0.0 Conceded
7 Points
Atletico Bucaramanga U19
W W
26.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings
Atletico Bucaramanga U19 3:0 ProvincialProvincial
12.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings
Atletico Bucaramanga U19 3:2 Estrella de BerissoEstrella de Berisso
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points