Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Atlético Tucumán Res. go head-to-head with Sarmiento Res. on August 5, 2026 in the Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Atlético Tucumán Res. 1-0-1, Sarmiento Res. 2-0-0. The bookmaker line makes Atlético Tucumán Res. the favourite at about 46%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Atlético Tucumán Res. — 47%
Pure model vs market (1 · Atlético Tucumán Res.): model 38% · market 47% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Atlético Tucumán Res. 46.6%, draw 27.5%, win Sarmiento Res. 25.9%. Model favourite — Atlético Tucumán Res..
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atlético Tucumán Res..
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 14 books (1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.91 52.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.99 50.3% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.35 29.9% |
| 3.76 26.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.86 53.8% |
| yes | 1.84 54.4% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.17 85.5% | 1.23 81.3% |
| x2 | 1.69 59.2% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_4 | 80.00 1.3% |
| 1_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_1 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 75.00 1.3% |
| 2_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 80.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Argentinos Khuniors 2
Aldosivi 2
Sarmiento Res.
Godoy Krus 2
Khimnasiya Mendosa 2
Full head-to-head historyAtlético Tucumán Res. - Sarmiento Res.
The Atlético Tucumán Res. - Sarmiento Res. breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
