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Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
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Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings

Banfield Res. - Tigre Res.

Football
Banfield Res.
Banfield Res.
- : -
Not started
Tigre Res.
Tigre Res.

Banfield Res. face Tigre Res. on August 4, 2026 in the Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Banfield Res. 1-0-1, Tigre Res. 1-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Banfield Res.45%

Pure model vs market (1 · Banfield Res.): model 52% · market 45% Δ +7 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Banfield Res.45.5%
X · draw29.9%
2 · Tigre Res.24.7%

Model estimate: win Banfield Res. 45.5%, draw 29.9%, win Tigre Res. 24.7%. Model favourite — Banfield Res..

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Banfield Res. (odds1.80) Score 2:1 confidence 55%
  • Model backs Banfild 2: probability 55% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.80)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Banfield Res. - Tigre Res. August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Banfield Res.. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 3.00 / 2 3.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0% 3 books · best price +2.0%
1 45.1%
X 30.3%
2 24.6%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Reserve League
League table
Banfield Res.
#2326 ptsGP 207-5-815:21
Tigre Res.
#3019 ptsGP 205-4-1117:28
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Banfield Res.
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.08 xGA 1.27
Tigre Res.
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.80 xG 1.08 xGA 1.38

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Banfield Res.
Rating 1499
Tigre Res.
Rating 1431

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Banfield Res. 1 : 1 Tigre Res.
12.07
X2.98
23.54

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 44.6% @ 2.06 / X 30.6% @ 3.00 / 2 24.8% @ 3.70
Match center

Banfield Res. - Tigre Res.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Banfield Res. 45.1% 45.5% market and model agree
Draw 30.3% 29.9% draw risk
Tigre Res. 24.6% 24.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 45.5% / 29.9% / 24.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,489 / 1,332 Banfield (r) / Tigre (r)
RD 200 / 212 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,088-1,890 / 907-1,756 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.65 market consensus · no value · model 24.7%
X 2.99 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.03 market consensus · no value · model 45.5%
Double chance
12 1.31 market consensus · no value · model 70.1%
1X 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 75.3%
X2 1.66 market consensus · no value · model 54.5%
Handicap
2 0 2.55 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.34 74.6%
1x 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3%
x2 1.60 62.5% 1.71 58.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.77 36.1%
X 1.89 52.9%
4.53 22.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.30 43.5%
Under 1 1.55 64.5%
Match center
Banfield Res.
W L
27.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Banfield Res. 1:0 Veles Sarsfild 2Veles Sarsfild 2
19.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Banfield Res. 0:3 San-Lorenso 2San-Lorenso 2
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Tigre Res.
L W
19.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Tigre Res. 1:3 Rosario Sentral 2Rosario Sentral 2
16.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Tigre Res. 1:0 Instituto 2Instituto 2
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBanfield Res. - Tigre Res.

Banfield Res.
0 matches total
Tigre Res.
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history