Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Banfield Res. - Tigre Res.
Banfield Res. face Tigre Res. on August 4, 2026 in the Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Banfield Res. 1-0-1, Tigre Res. 1-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Banfield Res. the favourite at about 43%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Banfield Res. — 44%
Pure model vs market (1 · Banfield Res.): model 52% · market 44% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Banfield Res. 44.1%, draw 29.9%, win Tigre Res. 26.0%. Model favourite — Banfield Res..
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Banfild 2: probability 55% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.80)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Banfield Res. - Tigre Res. August 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Banfield Res..
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 2.95 / 2 3.38
- 1X2 market: Banfield Res. 43.1% / X 30.4% / Tigre Res. 26.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 14 books (1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Reserve LeagueAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Banfield Res. - Tigre Res.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.07 48.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.93 51.8% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 2.97 33.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.70 37.0% | 3.05 32.8% |
| 3.54 28.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.45 29.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.68 59.5% |
| yes | 2.06 48.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.18 84.8% | 1.23 81.3% |
| x2 | 1.60 62.5% | 1.71 58.5% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_4 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 80.00 1.3% |
| 2_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 3_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_2 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 3_3 | 75.00 1.3% |
Banfield Res.
Veles Sarsfild 2
San-Lorenso 2
Tigre Res.
Rosario Sentral 2
Instituto 2
Full head-to-head historyBanfield Res. - Tigre Res.
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form