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Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC Clausura. 3-y Round
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Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings

Gimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res.

Football
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
- : -
Not started
Aldosivi Res.
Aldosivi Res.

Gimnasia La Plata Res. go head-to-head with Aldosivi Res. on August 4, 2026 in the Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0-2-0, Aldosivi Res. 0-1-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Gimnasia La Plata Res.48%

Pure model vs market (1 · Gimnasia La Plata Res.): model 43% · market 48% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Gimnasia La Plata Res.47.7%
X · draw27.4%
2 · Aldosivi Res.24.9%

Model estimate: win Gimnasia La Plata Res. 47.7%, draw 27.4%, win Aldosivi Res. 24.9%. Model favourite — Gimnasia La Plata Res..

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gimnasia La Plata Res. (odds2.38) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Khimnasiya i Esgrima 2: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.38)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res. August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Gimnasia La Plata Res.. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 3.30 / 2 4.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0% 3 books · best price +1.1%
1 48.0%
X 27.6%
2 24.4%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Reserve League
League table
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
#2425 ptsGP 206-7-719:17
Aldosivi Res.
#3119 ptsGP 205-4-1118:30
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 0.60 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.21 xGA 1.17
Aldosivi Res.
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.10 xG 0.99 xGA 1.47

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Rating 1525
Aldosivi Res.
Rating 1436

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gimnasia La Plata Res. 2 : 0 Aldosivi Res.
11.82
X3.24
24.13

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 48.8% @ 1.90 / X 28.1% @ 3.30 / 2 23.0% @ 4.03
Match center

Gimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res.

football, Aldosivi - Khimnasiya i Esgrima LP, 2 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Aldosivi - Khimnasiya i Esgrima LP, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 3-y Round.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 48.0% 47.7% market and model agree
Draw 27.6% 27.4% draw risk
Aldosivi Res. 24.4% 24.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.7% / 27.4% / 24.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,396 / 1,406 Khimnasiya i Esgrima 2 / Aldosivi 2
RD 237 / 206 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 923-1,870 / 994-1,818 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.81 market consensus · no value · model 24.9%
X 3.28 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.87 market consensus · no value · model 47.7%
Double chance
12 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 72.6%
1X 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 75.1%
X2 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 52.3%
Handicap
2 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.70 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.74 57.5%
yes 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5%
1x 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3%
x2 1.69 59.2% 1.80 55.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.45 40.8%
X 2.00 50.0%
4.96 20.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.07 48.3%
Under 1 1.67 59.9%
Match center
Lineup summary
  • 23 vr Ignasio Chikko
  • 4 zsch Rodrigo Gonsales
  • 33 zsch Nikolas Salasar
  • 2 zsch Leonardo Sigali
  • 32 zsch Khoakin Pombo
  • 17 zsch Federiko Laurelli
  • 19 pz Lukas Kastro
  • 22 np Alan Sosa
  • 21 np Matias Godoy
  • 9 np Nikolas Kordero
Gimnasia La Plata Res.

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Aldosivi Res.

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H
Match center
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
D D
23.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0:0 Instituto 2Instituto 2
14.07 14:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0:0 Union Santa-Fe 2Union Santa-Fe 2
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
2 Points
Aldosivi Res.
D L
22.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Aldosivi Res. 0:0 Union Santa-Fe 2Union Santa-Fe 2
14.07 14:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Aldosivi Res. 1:2 Atletiko Tukuman 2Atletiko Tukuman 2
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Aldosivi Res.
Gimnasia La Plata Res. Team comparison Aldosivi Res.
18 Games 20
0 Wins 10
9 Draws 2
9 Losses 8
7 Scored 22
21 Conceded 23
9 Points 32
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
9 Shots on goal 10.6
2.06 Udary v stvor 3.5
18 Games 20
0 Wins 10
9 Draws 2
9 Losses 8
7 Scored 22
21 Conceded 23

Aldosivi Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP 18 Games 20 0 Wins 10 9 Draws 2 9 Losses 8 7 Scored 22 21 Conceded 23 9 Points 32 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 9 Shots on goal 10.6 2.06 Udary v stvor 3.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.67 Uglovye 3.9 1 Offsaydy 1.7 13.67 Foly 11.35 40.33 % vladeniya myachom 44.85 2.78 Warnings 3.05 0.11 Sendoffs 0.15 Goly Agustin Ausmendi Pedro Torrekhon 0:1 40' Nakazaniya Alan Sosa 9' Matias Godoy 43'