Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Gimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res.
Gimnasia La Plata Res. go head-to-head with Aldosivi Res. on August 4, 2026 in the Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0-2-0, Aldosivi Res. 0-1-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Gimnasia La Plata Res. — 48%
Pure model vs market (1 · Gimnasia La Plata Res.): model 43% · market 48% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Gimnasia La Plata Res. 47.7%, draw 27.4%, win Aldosivi Res. 24.9%. Model favourite — Gimnasia La Plata Res..
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Khimnasiya i Esgrima 2: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.38)
- • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res. August 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 3.30 / 2 4.03
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Reserve LeagueAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Gimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res.
football, Aldosivi - Khimnasiya i Esgrima LP, 2 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Aldosivi - Khimnasiya i Esgrima LP, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 3-y Round.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 1.97 50.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.17 85.5% | 1.23 81.3% |
| x2 | 1.69 59.2% | 1.80 55.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| X | 2.00 50.0% |
| 4.96 20.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.67 59.9% |
- 23 vr Ignasio Chikko
- 4 zsch Rodrigo Gonsales
- 33 zsch Nikolas Salasar
- 2 zsch Leonardo Sigali
- 32 zsch Khoakin Pombo
- 17 zsch Federiko Laurelli
- 19 pz Lukas Kastro
- 22 np Alan Sosa
- 21 np Matias Godoy
- 9 np Nikolas Kordero
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
No home-team absences found in the prematch data.
Aldosivi Res.
No away-team absences found in the prematch data.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Instituto 2
Union Santa-Fe 2
Aldosivi Res.
Union Santa-Fe 2
Atletiko Tukuman 2
Full head-to-head historyGimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res.
Match history
Aldosivi Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP 18 Games 20 0 Wins 10 9 Draws 2 9 Losses 8 7 Scored 22 21 Conceded 23 9 Points 32 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 9 Shots on goal 10.6 2.06 Udary v stvor 3.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.67 Uglovye 3.9 1 Offsaydy 1.7 13.67 Foly 11.35 40.33 % vladeniya myachom 44.85 2.78 Warnings 3.05 0.11 Sendoffs 0.15 Goly Agustin Ausmendi Pedro Torrekhon 0:1 40' Nakazaniya Alan Sosa 9' Matias Godoy 43'
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The Gimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res. breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form