Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Gimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res.
Gimnasia La Plata Res. go head-to-head with Aldosivi Res. on August 5, 2026 in the Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0-2-0, Aldosivi Res. 0-1-1. The market favourite is Gimnasia La Plata Res. at roughly 49%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Gimnasia La Plata Res. — 49%
Pure model vs market (1 · Gimnasia La Plata Res.): model 43% · market 49% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Gimnasia La Plata Res. 49.0%, draw 27.6%, win Aldosivi Res. 23.4%. Model favourite — Gimnasia La Plata Res..
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Khimnasiya i Esgrima 2: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.38)
- • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res. August 5, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gimnasia La Plata Res..
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / X 3.21 / 2 3.95
- 1X2 market: Gimnasia La Plata Res. 49.3% / X 28.0% / Aldosivi Res. 22.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 14 books (1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Reserve LeagueAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Gimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res.
football, Aldosivi - Khimnasiya i Esgrima LP, 2 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Aldosivi - Khimnasiya i Esgrima LP, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 3-y Round.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| X | 3.24 30.9% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 4.13 24.2% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 4.10 24.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.76 56.8% |
| yes | 1.96 51.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.17 85.5% | 1.23 81.3% |
| x2 | 1.69 59.2% | 1.80 55.6% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 7.60 13.2% |
| 0_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_3 | 55.00 1.8% |
| 1_0 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_1 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 50.00 2.0% |
| 3_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_2 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 3_3 | 75.00 1.3% |
| 4_0 | 34.00 2.9% |
- 23 vr Ignasio Chikko
- 4 zsch Rodrigo Gonsales
- 33 zsch Nikolas Salasar
- 2 zsch Leonardo Sigali
- 32 zsch Khoakin Pombo
- 17 zsch Federiko Laurelli
- 19 pz Lukas Kastro
- 22 np Alan Sosa
- 21 np Matias Godoy
- 9 np Nikolas Kordero
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
No home-team absences found in the prematch data.
Aldosivi Res.
No away-team absences found in the prematch data.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Instituto 2
Union Santa-Fe 2
Aldosivi Res.
Union Santa-Fe 2
Atletiko Tukuman 2
Full head-to-head historyGimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res.
Match history
Aldosivi Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP 18 Games 20 0 Wins 10 9 Draws 2 9 Losses 8 7 Scored 22 21 Conceded 23 9 Points 32 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 9 Shots on goal 10.6 2.06 Udary v stvor 3.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.67 Uglovye 3.9 1 Offsaydy 1.7 13.67 Foly 11.35 40.33 % vladeniya myachom 44.85 2.78 Warnings 3.05 0.11 Sendoffs 0.15 Goly Agustin Ausmendi Pedro Torrekhon 0:1 40' Nakazaniya Alan Sosa 9' Matias Godoy 43'
Unlock the full match prediction
The Gimnasia La Plata Res. - Aldosivi Res. breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form