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Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings
Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings

Philippines - Myanmar

Football
Philippines
Philippines
1 : 4
Finished
Myanmar
Myanmar
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Philippines — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · Philippines): model 65% · market 42% Δ +23 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Philippines ✓ Pick71.3%
market42%
X · draw17.6%
market6%
2 · Myanmar11.2%
market52%

Model estimate: win Philippines 71.3%, draw 17.6%, win Myanmar 11.2%. Model favourite — Philippines.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Philippines (odds1.27) Score 2:1 confidence 58% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Philippines: probability 58% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.27)
  • • no edge over the line (-21 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Philippines - Myanmar July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Myanmar.

Line favourite Fonbet: Myanmar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.28 / X 9.50 / 2 1.05
  • Glicko: Philippines 71.3% / X 17.6% / Myanmar 11.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 83.9%
1 ✓ Pick 42.5%
X 5.7%
2 51.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.25 ↑ 1.27
1X2 X 4.60 ↑ 5.10
1X2 2 10.00 ↓ 8.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Philippines 4 : 1 Myanmar
11.20
X5.90
210.20

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
26 predictions Choose an outcome
1 100% 3
X 0% 0
2 0% 0
total_t2_under total_t1_over:2 1.38 (3) - total_t2_under:0_5 2.03 (2) - total_t1_over:2_5 1.81 (2)
handicap1 handicap1:-1_5 1.64 (7) - handicap1:-2_5 2.46 (1)
Total TB 3.5 1.94 (3)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.75 (1)
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Philippines 100%
📐 Math model Philippines 71%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Philippines - Myanmar

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 3 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 71.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.328 / LogLoss 2.191
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 71.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.328 / LogLoss 2.191
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 71.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.328 / LogLoss 2.191
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 71.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.328 / LogLoss 2.191
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Philippines 71.7% 71.3% market and model agree
Draw 17.6% 17.6% draw risk
Myanmar 10.8% 11.2%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 71.3% / 17.6% / 11.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,845 / 1,354 Philippines / Myanmar
RD 259 / 212 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,327-2,364 / 930-1,778 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 11.2%
X 9.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 71.3%
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 82.4%
1X 7.50 Fonbet · weak value +566.2% · model 88.8%
X2 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 28.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 4.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.50 40.0% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 7.50 13.3%
x2 3.27 30.6% 3.40 29.4% 1.08 92.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.62 61.7%
X 2.77 36.1%
7.60 13.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.06 48.5%
Under 1.5 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Philippines
W W
09.06 09:30 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Philippines 5:1 MyanmaMyanma
03.06 09:30 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Philippines 5:1 GuamGuam
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Myanmar
L
25.07 08:00 UTC Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings
Myanmar 1:2 Malaysia
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPhilippines - Myanmar

Philippines
0 matches total
Myanmar
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history