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Australia: NPL AST Standings
Australia: NPL AST Standings
04.07.2026 04:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 04:30 UTC
Finished

Australia: NPL AST Standings

Belconnen Utd. - Canberra Juventus

Futbol
Belconnen Utd.
Belconnen Utd.
0 : 1
Finished
Canberra Juventus
Canberra Juventus
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

1Belconnen Utd. — odds 4.80 · edge +5.3% · 3 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Belconnen Utd. - Canberra Juventus July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Canberra Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.80 / X 6.90 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 29.7%
1 16.1%
X 11.2%
2 72.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Capital Territory NPL
League table
Belconnen Utd.
#98 ptsGP 142-2-1023:33
LLWLL
Canberra Juventus
#427 ptsGP 139-0-430:21
WWLWW
Best price across 10 books
1 3.90 Unibet
X 4.65 Betano
2 1.70 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Belconnen Utd.
W-D-L 1-1-8 Scored 1.70 Conceded 2.80 xG 1.57 xGA 2.17
Canberra Juventus
W-D-L 7-0-3 Scored 2.60 Conceded 1.80 xG 2.02 xGA 1.97

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Belconnen Utd.
Rating 1320
Canberra Juventus
Rating 1602

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 04:30 UTC
Match center

Belconnen Utd. - Canberra Juventus

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X 6.90 Fonbet · line only
1 4.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1X 6.90 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.77 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.94 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.27 78.7% 3.20 31.3%
yes 3.25 30.8% 1.30 76.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.07 93.5%
1x 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 6.90 14.5%
x2 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.25 23.5%
X 2.77 36.1%
1.94 51.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.73 57.8%
Under 1.5 1.99 50.3%
Match center
Belconnen Utd.
W L L
13.06 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Belconnen Utd. 4:1 BrindabellaBrindabella
10.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Belconnen Utd. 1:2 Canberra White EaglesCanberra White Eagles
03.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Belconnen Utd. 1:3 Taggeranong YunaytedTaggeranong Yunayted
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Canberra Juventus
L W
14.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Canberra Juventus 1:5 TaygersTaygers
10.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Canberra Juventus 3:2 Kanberra OlimpikKanberra Olimpik
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.5 Conceded
3 Points