Australia: NPL AST Standings
Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong United
Queanbeyan City go head-to-head with Tuggeranong United on August 2, 2026 in the Australia: NPL AST Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Queanbeyan City 2-2-0, Tuggeranong United 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 64% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Queanbeyan City — 64%
Model estimate: win Queanbeyan City 64.4%, draw 16.8%, win Tuggeranong United 18.8%. Model favourite — Queanbeyan City.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Queanbeyan City — 80%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Queanbeyan City: probability 50% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
- • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong United August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tuggeranong United.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 10.60 / X 6.40 / 2 1.18
- Glicko: Queanbeyan City 64.4% / X 16.8% / Tuggeranong United 18.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Clubs and venues
Team reference
- Founded in 1966
Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.
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Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong United
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 8.80 11.4% | |
| X | 3.17 31.6% |
| 1.47 68.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 2 | 1.74 57.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
| Under 2 | 1.98 50.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 2.16 46.3% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.62 61.7% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 2.10 47.6% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.7 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| Winline | 3.85 | 3.85 | 1.72 |
| Fonbet | 3.7 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| Betcity | 3 | 4.2 | 1.9 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.55 | 3.85 | 1.82 |
Queanbeyan City
Brindabella
Kanberra Olimpik
Taygers
Monaro Panters
Tuggeranong United
Taygers
Canberra White Eagles
Belconnen Utd.
O'Konnor Nayts
Monaro Panters
Full head-to-head historyQueanbeyan City - Tuggeranong United
Match history
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The Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong United breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form