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Australia. Capital Territory. National Premier League
Australia. Capital Territory. National Premier League
01.08.2026 09:30 UTC
01.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Not started

Australia. Capital Territory. National Premier League

Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong United

Football
Queanbeyan City
Queanbeyan City
- : -
Not started
Tuggeranong United
Tuggeranong United
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Queanbeyan City — 65%

1 · Queanbeyan City ✓ Pick65.2%
market56%
X · draw16.5%
market21%
2 · Tuggeranong United18.3%
market22%

Model estimate: win Queanbeyan City 65.2%, draw 16.5%, win Tuggeranong United 18.3%. Model favourite — Queanbeyan City.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Queanbeyan City — 80%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Queanbeyan City (odds1.61) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Queanbeyan City: probability 50% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
  • • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong United August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Queanbeyan City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / X 4.27 / 2 4.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 ✓ Pick 56.4%
X 21.3%
2 22.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Queanbeyan City
  • Founded in 1966
Tuggeranong United
No data

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Market 1 56.4% @ 1.61 / X 21.3% @ 4.27 / 2 22.3% @ 4.07
Match center

Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong United

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Queanbeyan City 56.4% 65.2% market and model agree
Draw 21.3% 16.5% draw risk
Tuggeranong United 22.3% 18.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 65.2% / 16.5% / 18.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,837 / 1,559 Queanbeyan City / Tuggeranong United
RD 191 / 178 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,454-2,219 / 1,203-1,915 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.07 market consensus · no value · model 18.3%
X 4.27 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.61 market consensus · value +5.0% · model 65.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.95 33.9%
yes 1.35 74.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.04 49.0%
X 2.58 38.8%
4.31 23.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 2 1.74 57.5%
Under 1.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 2 1.98 50.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.00 50.0%
1.95 51.3%
2.16 46.3%
1.70 58.8%
1.75 57.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.62 61.7%
2.00 50.0%
2.00 50.0%
1.75 57.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-1-2, avg 3.75 gls
2026-07-25 · Fensibls Yunayted 3:2 Oklend Siti
2026-04-25 · Fensibls Yunayted 1:4 Oklend Siti
2025-08-02 · Fensibls Yunayted 1:1 Oklend Siti
2025-04-26 · Fensibls Yunayted 1:2 Oklend Siti
Source: ruscore

Odds · 3 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.85 (Winline) · X 4.2 (Betcity) · 2 1.9 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Winline 3.85 3.85 1.72
Betcity 3 4.2 1.9
Liga Stavok 3.55 3.85 1.82
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Queanbeyan City
W D D W
29.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Queanbeyan City 2:0 BrindabellaBrindabella
25.07 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Queanbeyan City 2:2 Kanberra OlimpikKanberra Olimpik
11.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Queanbeyan City 2:2 TaygersTaygers
06.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Queanbeyan City 2:0 Monaro PantersMonaro Panters
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Tuggeranong United
L W W W L
25.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Tuggeranong United 1:4 TaygersTaygers
22.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Tuggeranong United 3:2 Canberra White EaglesCanberra White Eagles
11.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Tuggeranong United 1:0 Belconnen Utd.Belconnen Utd.
13.06 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Tuggeranong United 3:2 O'Konnor NaytsO'Konnor Nayts
10.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL AST Standings
Tuggeranong United 1:6 Monaro PantersMonaro Panters
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.8 Conceded
9 Points