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Australia. Queensland. National Premier League

01.08.2026 02:30 UTC

Not started

Australia. Queensland. National Premier League

Brisben Roar U23 - Moreton City Excelsior

Football

Brisben Roar U23

- : -

Not started

Moreton City Excelsior

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Moreton City Excelsior — 50%

1 · Brisben Roar U2331.4%

X · draw19.0%

2 · Moreton City Excelsior49.7%

Model estimate: win Brisben Roar U23 31.4%, draw 19.0%, win Moreton City Excelsior 49.7%. Model favourite — Moreton City Excelsior.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Moreton City Excelsior (odds2.47) Score 0:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs Moreton City Excelsior: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.47)
• edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
• Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brisben Roar U23 - Moreton City Excelsior August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Moreton City Excelsior. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.97 / X 4.80 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%

1 18.3%

X 19.0%

2 62.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 02:30 UTC

Match center

Brisben Roar U23 - Moreton City Excelsior

Form 5/3 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Form Match Participants

More needed

Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Brisben Roar U23 - 31.4%

Draw - 19.0% draw risk

Moreton City Excelsior - 49.7% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 31.4% / 19.0% / 49.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,410 / 1,565 Brisben Roar U23 / Moreton City Excelsior

RD 190 / 211 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,029-1,790 / 1,142-1,987 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 49.7%

X 4.80 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 4.97 market consensus · no value · model 31.4%

Handicap

2 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only

1 +1 1.95 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.91 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.91 34.4%
yes	1.36 73.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	4.46 22.4%
X	2.80 35.7%
	1.89 52.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.81 55.3%
Under 1.5	1.89 52.9%

Handicap

Outcome	Leon
	1.95 51.3%
	1.75 57.1%

Match center

Brisben Roar U23

L W D L L

19.07 04:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings

Brisben Roar U23 1:3 Olimpik FK

10.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings

Brisben Roar U23 4:1 Rochdeyl Rovers

05.07 03:45 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings

Brisben Roar U23 1:1 Brisben Siti

06.06 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings

Brisben Roar U23 1:2 Magic United

02.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings

Brisben Roar U23 1:2 Wynnum Wolves

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Moreton City Excelsior

D W L

18.07 04:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings

Moreton City Excelsior 2:2 Peninsula

11.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings

Moreton City Excelsior 4:3 Magic United

04.07 04:15 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings

Moreton City Excelsior 1:2 Gold-Kost Nayts

1 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.3 Scored

2.3 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrisben Roar U23 - Moreton City Excelsior

Brisben Roar U23

0 matches total

Moreton City Excelsior

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Brisben Roar U23 - Moreton City Excelsior

AI match prediction Brisben Roar U23 - Moreton City Excelsior August 1, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Brisben Roar U23 - Moreton City Excelsior

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Handicap

Match history