Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
Eastern Suburbs Queensland - Peninsula
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
2Peninsula — odds 2.90 · edge +4.6% · 14 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Eastern Suburbs Queensland - Peninsula July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Peninsula.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.95 / X 3.85 / 2 1.93
- 1X2 market: Eastern Suburbs Queensland 30.3% / X 23.3% / Peninsula 46.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Queensland NPLHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Eastern Suburbs Queensland - Peninsula
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.90 34.5% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.88 34.7% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.05 24.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 2.00 50.0% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.80 55.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 3.35 29.9% | 2.88 34.7% |
| yes | 1.25 80.0% | 1.36 73.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.15 87.0% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 1.81 55.3% | 1.36 73.5% | 3.70 27.0% |
| x2 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.03 97.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.24 30.9% | |
| X | 2.61 38.3% |
| 2.39 41.8% |
Peninsula
Rochdeyl Rovers
Full head-to-head historyEastern Suburbs Queensland - Peninsula