Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. Queensland. National Premier League

Eastern Suburbs Queensland - Peninsula

Futbol
Eastern Suburbs Queensland
Eastern Suburbs Queensland
1 : 3
Finished
Peninsula
Peninsula
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

2Peninsula — odds 2.90 · edge +4.6% · 14 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eastern Suburbs Queensland - Peninsula July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Peninsula.

Line favourite market consensus: Peninsula. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.95 / X 3.85 / 2 1.93
  • 1X2 market: Eastern Suburbs Queensland 30.3% / X 23.3% / Peninsula 46.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.7%
1 30.4%
X 23.3%
2 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Queensland NPL
League table
Eastern Suburbs Queensland
#528 ptsGP 179-1-732:26
LLLWW
Peninsula
#141 ptsGP 1713-2-243:20
WWWWW
Best price across 11 books
1 3.20 Bet365
X 4.33 Pinnacle
2 2.06 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Eastern Suburbs Queensland
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.19 Conceded 1.21 xG 2.04 xGA 1.63
Peninsula
W-D-L 8-0-2 Scored 2.61 Conceded 1.29 xG 2.31 xGA 1.29

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Eastern Suburbs Queensland
Rating 1657
Peninsula
Rating 1771

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Eastern Suburbs Queensland - Peninsula

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.22 Fonbet · line only
X 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1 2.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 3.70 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.86 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.84 market consensus · line only
1 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 7.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7% 3.80 26.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.00 25.0% 3.40 29.4%
2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.35 29.9% 2.88 34.7%
yes 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.81 55.3% 1.36 73.5% 3.70 27.0%
x2 1.30 76.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.24 30.9%
X 2.61 38.3%
2.39 41.8%
Match center
Peninsula
W
06.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Peninsula 2:0 Rochdeyl RoversRochdeyl Rovers
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points