Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
04.07.2026 04:15 UTC
Finished

Australia. Queensland. National Premier League

Gold Coast Knights - Moreton City Excelsior

Futbol
Gold Coast Knights
Gold Coast Knights
2 : 1
Finished
Moreton City Excelsior
Moreton City Excelsior

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gold Coast Knights - Moreton City Excelsior 4 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Moreton City Excelsior.

Line favourite market consensus: Moreton City Excelsior. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.53 / X 3.77 / 2 2.20
  • 1X2 market: Gold Coast Knights 35.5% / X 23.8% / Moreton City Excelsior 40.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.5%
1 35.4%
X 23.8%
2 40.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Gold Coast Knights
No data
Moreton City Excelsior
  • Founded in 2012

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 04:15 UTC
Match center

Gold Coast Knights - Moreton City Excelsior

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 market consensus · line only
X 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 4.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.19 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 2.60 38.5% 2.52 39.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.50 40.0% 2.30 43.5%
Х 3.85 26.0% 3.76 26.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.50 28.6%
П2 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 4.00 25.0% 3.26 30.7%
yes 1.19 84.0% 1.29 77.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 6.40 15.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 3.00 33.3%
Х 2.46 40.7%
П2 2.70 37.0%
Match center
Gold Coast Knights
W
05.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Gold Coast Knights 5:2 Olimpik FKOlimpik FK
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points