Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
04.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. Queensland. National Premier League

Kvinslend Layons - Bay Olympic

Futbol
Kvinslend Layons
Kvinslend Layons
2 : 0
Finished
Bay Olympic
Bay Olympic
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Kvinslend Layons67%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kvinslend Layons - Bay Olympic July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kvinslend Layons.

Line favourite market consensus: Kvinslend Layons. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 4.84 / 2 5.77
  • 1X2 market: Kvinslend Layons 65.9% / X 18.5% / Bay Olympic 15.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.5%
1 65.9%
X 18.5%
2 15.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Queensland NPL
League table
Kvinslend Layons
#238 ptsGP 1612-2-247:18
WWWWW
Bay Olympic
#820 ptsGP 176-2-931:35
LWLLL
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kvinslend Layons
W-D-L 8-1-1 Scored 3.21 Conceded 1.20 xG 2.67 xGA 1.20
Bay Olympic
W-D-L 3-0-7 Scored 2.00 Conceded 2.41 xG 1.76 xGA 1.72

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Kvinslend Layons
Rating 1799
Bay Olympic
Rating 1580

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

Kvinslend Layons - Bay Olympic

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X 1.62 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 4.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 7.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5%
X 4.80 20.8% 5.10 19.6% 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6% 5.00 20.0% 4.33 23.1%
5.80 17.2% 6.53 15.3% 5.50 18.2% 5.60 17.9% 6.00 16.7% 5.25 19.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.05 95.2% 2.31 43.3%
yes 7.10 14.1% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 2.10 47.6%
1x 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3%
x2 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 7.40 13.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.71 58.5%
X 2.79 35.8%
6.00 16.7%
Match center
Kvinslend Layons
W
06.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Kvinslend Layons 4:0 Brisben SitiBrisben Siti
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Bay Olympic
L L
05.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Bay Olympic 2:5 Gold-Kost NaytsGold-Kost Nayts
31.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Bay Olympic 2:3 Brisben SitiBrisben Siti
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points