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Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
31.07.2026 02:30 UTC
31.07.2026 02:30 UTC
Not started

Australia. Queensland. National Premier League

Magic United - Bay Olympic

Football
Magic United
Magic United
- : -
Not started
Bay Olympic
Bay Olympic
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Magic United — 56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Magic United): model 48% · market 22% Δ +26 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Magic United55.9%
X · draw20.0%
2 · Bay Olympic24.2%

Model estimate: win Magic United 55.9%, draw 20.0%, win Bay Olympic 24.2%. Model favourite — Magic United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Magic United (odds4.07) Score 2:1 confidence 56%
  • • Model backs Magic United: probability 56% vs 25% on the line (odds 4.07)
  • • edge over the line +31 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Magic United - Bay Olympic July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Bay Olympic. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.04 / X 4.55 / 2 1.58

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 22.5%
X 20.0%
2 57.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 02:30 UTC
Match center

Magic United - Bay Olympic

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Magic United 22.4% 55.9% Glicko contrarian
Draw 20.1% 20.0% draw risk
Bay Olympic 57.6% 24.2% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 55.9% / 20.0% / 24.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,544 / 1,494 Magic United / Bay Olympic
RD 184 / 226 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,175-1,913 / 1,042-1,946 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.58 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 24.2%
X 4.55 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.04 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 55.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.95 33.9%
yes 1.35 74.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.25 23.5%
X 2.67 37.5%
2.00 50.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 1.5 1.86 53.8%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
Match center
Magic United
W L W W L
18.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Magic United 4:1 Istern SaberbsIstern Saberbs
11.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Magic United 3:4 Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior
05.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Magic United 3:1 Gold Koast YunaytedGold Koast Yunayted
06.06 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Magic United 2:1 Brisben Roar U23Brisben Roar U23
03.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Magic United 0:4 Rochdeyl RoversRochdeyl Rovers
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
9 Points
Bay Olympic
W L L L
19.07 04:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Bay Olympic 3:1 Brisben Roar U23Brisben Roar U23
04.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Bay Olympic 0:2 Kvinslend LayonsKvinslend Layons
05.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Bay Olympic 2:5 Gold-Kost NaytsGold-Kost Nayts
31.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Bay Olympic 2:3 Brisben SitiBrisben Siti
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMagic United - Bay Olympic

Magic United
0 matches total
Bay Olympic
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history