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Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
30.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Not started

Australia. Queensland. National Premier League

Rochedale Rovers - Eastern Suburbs Queensland

Football
Rochedale Rovers
Rochedale Rovers
- : -
Not started
Eastern Suburbs Queensland
Eastern Suburbs Queensland
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Eastern Suburbs Queensland46%

Pure model vs market (2 · Eastern Suburbs Queensland): model 26% · market 47% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Rochedale Rovers32.6%
X · draw21.8%
2 · Eastern Suburbs Queensland45.6%

Model estimate: win Rochedale Rovers 32.6%, draw 21.8%, win Eastern Suburbs Queensland 45.6%. Model favourite — Eastern Suburbs Queensland.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rochedale Rovers (odds1.69) Score 2:1 confidence 59%
  • Model backs Rochdeyl Rovers: probability 59% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.69)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rochedale Rovers - Eastern Suburbs Queensland July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eastern Suburbs Queensland.

Line favourite market consensus: Eastern Suburbs Queensland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.96 / X 4.12 / 2 1.93
  • 1X2 market: Rochedale Rovers 30.8% / X 22.1% / Eastern Suburbs Queensland 47.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 30.7%
X 22.1%
2 47.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 07:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Eastern Suburbs Queensland 46%
💹 Market Eastern Suburbs Queensland 4714%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Rochedale Rovers - Eastern Suburbs Queensland

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rochedale Rovers 31.3% 32.6%
Draw 21.8% 21.8% draw risk
Eastern Suburbs Queensland 46.9% 45.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.6% / 21.8% / 45.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,347 / 1,203 Rochedale Rovers / Eastern Suburbs Queensland
RD 162 / 242 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,023-1,670 / 719-1,687 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.93 market consensus · no value · model 45.6%
X 4.14 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.96 market consensus · no value · model 32.6%
Double chance
12 1.16 market consensus · no value · model 78.2%
1X 1.76 market consensus · no value · model 54.4%
X2 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 67.4%
Handicap
2 0 1.55 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.19 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
2.90 34.5% 2.94 34.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.92 34.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4% 4.30 23.3%
2.00 50.0% 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 3.05 32.8%
yes 1.33 75.2%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.16 86.2%
1x 1.76 56.8%
x2 1.36 73.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 23.00 4.4%
0_1 13.00 7.7%
0_2 13.00 7.7%
0_3 19.00 5.3%
0_4 34.00 2.9%
0_5 67.00 1.5%
0_6 126.00 0.8%
1_0 17.00 5.9%
1_1 8.50 11.8%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 11.00 9.1%
1_4 19.00 5.3%
1_5 46.00 2.2%
1_6 91.00 1.1%
2_0 19.00 5.3%
2_1 10.00 10.0%
2_2 9.00 11.1%
2_3 12.00 8.3%
Match center
Rochedale Rovers
L L D L W
18.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Rochedale Rovers 2:3 Brisben SitiBrisben Siti
10.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Rochedale Rovers 1:4 Brisben Roar U23Brisben Roar U23
03.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Rochedale Rovers 1:1 Wynnum WolvesWynnum Wolves
06.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Rochedale Rovers 0:2 PeninsulaPeninsula
03.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Rochedale Rovers 4:0 Magic UnitedMagic United
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Eastern Suburbs Queensland
L L
18.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Eastern Suburbs Queensland 1:4 Magic UnitedMagic United
04.07 07:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Eastern Suburbs Queensland 1:3 PeninsulaPeninsula
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.5 Conceded
0 Points