Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
Wynnum Wolves - Brisbane City
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Wynnum Wolves — 42%
Pure model vs market (1 · Wynnum Wolves): model 58% · market 41% Δ +17 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Wynnum Wolves 41.9%, draw 23.0%, win Brisbane City 35.1%. Model favourite — Wynnum Wolves.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Wynnum Wolves: probability 67% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Wynnum Wolves - Brisbane City July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Wynnum Wolves.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.22 / X 3.90 / 2 2.53
- 1X2 market: Wynnum Wolves 40.9% / X 23.3% / Brisbane City 35.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Wynnum Wolves - Brisbane City
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.28 43.9% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 3.82 26.2% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.95 25.3% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.10 24.4% |
| 2.55 39.2% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.55 39.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 3.21 31.2% |
| yes | 1.30 76.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_1 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 0_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_4 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 1_5 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_6 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 2_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_4 | 26.00 3.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.66 37.6% | |
| X | 2.46 40.7% |
| 3.06 32.7% |
Wynnum Wolves
Gold-Kost Nayts
Peninsula
Rochdeyl Rovers
Gold Koast Yunayted
Brisben Roar U23
Brisbane City
Rochdeyl Rovers
Brisben Roar U23
Gold Koast Yunayted
Kvinslend Layons
Olimpik FK
Full head-to-head historyWynnum Wolves - Brisbane City
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form