PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
01.08.2026 05:00 UTC
01.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

Blacktown City - FK Sidney U23

Football
Blacktown City
Blacktown City
- : -
Not started
FK Sidney U23
FK Sidney U23
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 FK Sidney U23 — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · FK Sidney U23): model 26% · market 26% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Blacktown City28.8%
X · draw20.0%
2 · FK Sidney U2351.3%

Model estimate: win Blacktown City 28.8%, draw 20.0%, win FK Sidney U23 51.3%. Model favourite — FK Sidney U23.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2FK Sidney U23 (odds2.40) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs FK Sidney U23: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Blacktown City - FK Sidney U23 August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Blacktown City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.56 / 2 3.47

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 48.3%
X 25.5%
2 26.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 01.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Market 1 48.3% @ 1.88 / X 25.5% @ 3.56 / 2 26.2% @ 3.47
Match center

Blacktown City - FK Sidney U23

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Blacktown City - 28.8%
Draw - 20.0% draw risk
FK Sidney U23 - 51.3% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.8% / 20.0% / 51.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,699 / 1,539 Blacktown City / FK Sidney U23
RD 184 / 161 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,331-2,067 / 1,216-1,861 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.47 market consensus · weak value +77.9% · model 51.3%
X 3.56 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 28.8%
Handicap
2 0 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.60 62.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.46 40.7%
X 2.19 45.7%
4.04 24.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.66 60.2%
Under 1 2.09 47.9%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.43 69.9%
2.60 38.5%
Match center
Blacktown City
W L W D W
26.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Blacktown City 2:0 Vullongong VulvzVullongong Vulvz
19.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Blacktown City 1:4 Sent-Dzhordzh SitiSent-Dzhordzh Siti
11.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Blacktown City 3:1 SD RaidersSD Raiders
05.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Blacktown City 0:0 Sidney YunaytedSidney Yunayted
13.06 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Blacktown City 2:1 Sazerland SharksSazerland Sharks
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
FK Sidney U23
W D L L W
25.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
FK Sidney U23 3:2 Sen Dzhordzh SeintsSen Dzhordzh Seints
17.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
FK Sidney U23 2:2 Menli YunaytedMenli Yunayted
11.07 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
FK Sidney U23 0:4 APIA LeykhgardtAPIA Leykhgardt
04.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
FK Sidney U23 2:3 UNSWUNSW
30.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
FK Sidney U23 1:0 SD RaidersSD Raiders
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
7 Points