Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

04.07.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 05:00 UTC

Finished

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

Manly United - SD Raiders

Futbol

Manly United

1 : 0

Finished

SD Raiders

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

1Manly United — odds 2.09 · edge +3.6% · 15 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manly United - SD Raiders July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manly United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manly United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.42 / 2 3.13
1X2 market: Manly United 44.7% / X 26.5% / SD Raiders 28.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%

1 44.7%

X 26.4%

2 28.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

New South Wales NPL

League table

Manly United

#1027 ptsGP 227-6-923:28

WDWDL

SD Raiders

#1126 ptsGP 227-5-1029:36

LLWLW

Best price across 11 books

1 2.10 William Hill

X 3.64 Pinnacle

2 3.30 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Manly United

W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.29 xGA 1.52

SD Raiders

W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.33 xGA 1.66

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Manly United

Rating 1478

SD Raiders

Rating 1507

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 04.07.2026 05:00 UTC

Match center

Manly United - SD Raiders

Form 2/4 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.12 market consensus · line only

X 6.90 Fonbet · line only

1 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.06 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 +1 1.95 market consensus · line only

2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.23 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.05 48.8%	2.01 49.8%	1.95 51.3%	2.07 48.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.05 48.8%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.55 28.2%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.40 29.4%
	3.20 31.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.23 81.3%	2.13 47.0%
yes	3.60 27.8%	1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.06 94.3%
1x	1.32 75.8%	1.34 74.6%	1.02 98.0%
x2	1.63 61.4%	1.65 60.6%	8.50 11.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.63 38.0%
X	2.21 45.3%
	3.61 27.7%

Match center

Manly United

D L

12.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

Manly United 1:1 Sidney Yunayted

06.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

Manly United 0:2 APIA Leykhgardt

0 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

0.5 Scored

1.5 Conceded

1 Points

SD Raiders

L W D W

30.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

SD Raiders 0:1 FK Sidney U23

14.06 04:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

SD Raiders 1:0 Rokdeyl Ilinden

10.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

SD Raiders 1:1 Sidney Olimpik

06.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

SD Raiders 2:0 UNSW

2 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.5 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManly United - SD Raiders

Manly United

0 matches total

SD Raiders

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Manly United - SD Raiders

AI match prediction Manly United - SD Raiders July 4, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Manly United - SD Raiders

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Match history