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Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
01.08.2026 03:00 UTC
01.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

Marconi Stallions - St George City FA

Football
Marconi Stallions
Marconi Stallions
- : -
Not started
St George City FA
St George City FA
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Marconi Stallions — 60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Marconi Stallions): model 53% · market 72% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Marconi Stallions ✓ Pick59.7%
market72%
X · draw19.8%
market17%
2 · St George City FA20.4%
market11%

Model estimate: win Marconi Stallions 59.7%, draw 19.8%, win St George City FA 20.4%. Model favourite — Marconi Stallions.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Marconi Stallions (odds2.06) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Markoni Stallions: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.06)
  • • edge over the line +1 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marconi Stallions - St George City FA August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Marconi Stallions. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.50 / 2 8.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 ✓ Pick 71.6%
X 17.1%
2 11.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

New South Wales NPL
League table
Marconi Stallions
#255 ptsGP 2517-4-446:17
ARRAY
St George City FA
#1428 ptsGP 257-7-1123:40
ARRAY
Best price across 5 books
1 1.44 1xBet
X 4.40 Betfair
2 6.50 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Marconi Stallions
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.20 Conceded 0.50 xG 1.98 xGA 1.00
St George City FA
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.30 xGA 1.40

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Marconi Stallions
Rating 1684 xG 1.87 Win 64%
St George City FA
Rating 1444 xG 0.76 Win 15%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Market 1 71.6% @ 1.31 / X 17.1% @ 5.50 / 2 11.3% @ 8.30
Match center

Marconi Stallions - St George City FA

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Marconi Stallions - 59.7% model pick
Draw - 19.8% draw risk
St George City FA - 20.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 59.7% / 19.8% / 20.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,624 / 1,417 Markoni Stallions / St. George City
RD 185 / 186 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,254-1,993 / 1,045-1,790 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.13 market consensus · no value · model 20.4%
X 5.22 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 59.7%
Double chance
12 1.10 market consensus · no value · model 80.2%
1X 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 79.6%
X2 3.24 market consensus · no value · model 40.3%
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.71 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.71 58.5%
yes 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.09 91.7% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2%
x2 3.17 31.6% 3.30 30.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.76 56.8%
X 2.49 40.2%
7.10 14.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.62 61.7%
Under 1 2.15 46.5%
Match center
Marconi Stallions
L W W W D
25.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Marconi Stallions 1:2 SD RaidersSD Raiders
19.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Marconi Stallions 2:0 Sidney YunaytedSidney Yunayted
12.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Marconi Stallions 3:0 VS Uonderers U21VS Uonderers U21
05.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Marconi Stallions 2:0 Sen Dzhordzh SeintsSen Dzhordzh Seints
12.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Marconi Stallions 0:0 FK Sidney U23FK Sidney U23
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
St George City FA
W W L D D
25.07 07:15 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
St George City FA 1:0 Sidney YunaytedSidney Yunayted
19.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
St George City FA 4:1 Blektaun SitiBlektaun Siti
11.07 07:15 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
St George City FA 0:2 UNSWUNSW
05.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
St George City FA 3:3 Vullongong VulvzVullongong Vulvz
13.06 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
St George City FA 1:1 VS Uonderers U21VS Uonderers U21
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points