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Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
01.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Not started

Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

Rockdale City Suns - Manly United

Football
Rockdale City Suns
Rockdale City Suns
- : -
Not started
Manly United
Manly United
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rockdale City Suns53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rockdale City Suns): model 31% · market 52% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Rockdale City Suns52.9%
X · draw20.0%
2 · Manly United27.2%

Model estimate: win Rockdale City Suns 52.9%, draw 20.0%, win Manly United 27.2%. Model favourite — Rockdale City Suns.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rockdale City Suns (odds2.33) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Rokdeyl Ilinden: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.33)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rockdale City Suns - Manly United August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Rockdale City Suns. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.90 / 2 3.96

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 52.5%
X 23.9%
2 23.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

New South Wales NPL
League table
Rockdale City Suns
#539 ptsGP 2512-3-1043:36
ARRAY
Manly United
#734 ptsGP 259-7-929:29
ARRAY
Best price across 5 books
1 1.73 Bet365
X 3.90 Betfair
2 3.97 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Rockdale City Suns
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.71 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.76 xGA 1.43
Manly United
W-D-L 5-4-1 Scored 1.50 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.38 xGA 1.44

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Rockdale City Suns
Rating 1560 xG 1.70 Win 54%
Manly United
Rating 1516 xG 1.00 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Market 1 52.5% @ 1.78 / X 23.9% @ 3.90 / 2 23.6% @ 3.96
Match center

Rockdale City Suns - Manly United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rockdale City Suns - 52.9% model pick
Draw - 20.0% draw risk
Manly United - 27.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.9% / 20.0% / 27.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,360 / 1,636 Rokdeyl Ilinden / Menli Yunayted
RD 155 / 169 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,050-1,671 / 1,298-1,975 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.85 market consensus · no value · model 27.2%
X 3.85 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.76 market consensus · no value · model 52.9%
Double chance
12 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 80.0%
1X 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 72.8%
X2 1.91 market consensus · no value · model 47.1%
Handicap
2 +1 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.90 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.25 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.27 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.27 44.1%
yes 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%
x2 1.88 53.2% 1.93 51.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.25 44.4%
X 2.26 44.3%
4.45 22.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.57 63.7%
Under 1 2.26 44.3%
Match center
Rockdale City Suns
L L L D L
26.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Rockdale City Suns 1:2 Sazerland SharksSazerland Sharks
18.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Rockdale City Suns 0:3 Sen Dzhordzh SeintsSen Dzhordzh Seints
12.07 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Rockdale City Suns 0:1 Sidney YunaytedSidney Yunayted
05.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Rockdale City Suns 1:1 NWS SpiritNWS Spirit
14.06 04:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Rockdale City Suns 0:1 SD RaidersSD Raiders
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
1 Points
Manly United
W D W W D
24.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Manly United 6:0 Sidney OlimpikSidney Olimpik
17.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Manly United 2:2 FK Sidney U23FK Sidney U23
11.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Manly United 2:1 Sazerland SharksSazerland Sharks
04.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Manly United 1:0 SD RaidersSD Raiders
12.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Manly United 1:1 Sidney YunaytedSidney Yunayted
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points