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Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

01.08.2026 02:30 UTC

Not started

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

Sydney United - NWS Spirit

Football

Sydney United

- : -

Not started

NWS Spirit

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sydney United — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sydney United): model 50% · market 48% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Sydney United ✓ Pick68.1%

market48%

X · draw17.5%

market27%

2 · NWS Spirit14.4%

market25%

Model estimate: win Sydney United 68.1%, draw 17.5%, win NWS Spirit 14.4%. Model favourite — Sydney United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sydney United (odds1.79) Score 2:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs Sidney Yunayted: probability 50% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.79)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sydney United - NWS Spirit August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sydney United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.97 / X 3.48 / 2 3.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%

1 ✓ Pick 48.0%

X 27.2%

2 24.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

New South Wales NPL

League table

Sydney United

#351 ptsGP 2516-3-635:18

ARRAY

NWS Spirit

#1231 ptsGP 259-4-1228:34

ARRAY

Best price across 5 books

1 2.12 Unibet

X 3.60 Betfair

2 3.30 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Sydney United

W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 0.60 Conceded 0.60 xG 1.68 xGA 1.14

NWS Spirit

W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.41 xG 1.63 xGA 1.30

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Sydney United

Rating 1621 xG 1.25 Win 38%

NWS Spirit

Rating 1496 xG 1.16 Win 34%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 02:30 UTC

Match center

Sydney United - NWS Spirit

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Form Match Participants

More needed

Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Sydney United - 68.1% model pick

Draw - 17.5% draw risk

NWS Spirit - 14.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 68.1% / 17.5% / 14.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,546 / 1,402 Sydney United / NWS Spirit

RD 188 / 169 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,170-1,923 / 1,064-1,739 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.62 market consensus · no value · model 14.4%

X 3.43 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.92 market consensus · value +30.7% · model 68.1%

Double chance

12 1.26 market consensus · value +4.0% · model 82.5%

1X 1.21 market consensus · weak value +3.6% · model 85.6%

X2 1.78 market consensus · no value · model 31.9%

Handicap

2 0 2.70 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.41 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.96 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.96 51.0%
yes	1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%
1x	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%
x2	1.76 56.8%	1.80 55.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.47 40.5%
X	2.10 47.6%
	4.38 22.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.84 54.4%
Under 1	1.86 53.8%

Match center

Sydney United

L L W D D

25.07 07:15 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

Sydney United 0:1 Sent-Dzhordzh Siti

19.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

Sydney United 0:2 Markoni Stallions

12.07 02:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

Sydney United 1:0 Rokdeyl Ilinden

05.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

Sydney United 0:0 Blektaun Siti

12.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

Sydney United 1:1 Menli Yunayted

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

5 Points

NWS Spirit

L L W D W

25.07 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

NWS Spirit 0:4 VS Uonderers U21

18.07 05:15 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

NWS Spirit 1:3 UNSW

11.07 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

NWS Spirit 3:1 Sen Dzhordzh Seints

05.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

NWS Spirit 1:1 Rokdeyl Ilinden

13.06 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings

NWS Spirit 3:0 Sidney Olimpik

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.8 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySydney United - NWS Spirit

Sydney United

0 matches total

NWS Spirit

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Sydney United - NWS Spirit

AI match prediction Sydney United - NWS Spirit August 1, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Sydney United - NWS Spirit

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history