Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
04.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leykhgardt

Futbol
Sutherland Sharks
Sutherland Sharks
3 : 2
Finished
APIA Leykhgardt
APIA Leykhgardt
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

1Sutherland Sharks — odds 4.70 · edge +4.2% · 15 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leykhgardt July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like APIA Leykhgardt.

Line favourite market consensus: APIA Leykhgardt. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.09 / X 3.81 / 2 1.67
  • 1X2 market: Sutherland Sharks 22.2% / X 23.8% / APIA Leykhgardt 54.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 22.1%
X 23.7%
2 54.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Match center

Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leykhgardt

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.66 market consensus · line only
X 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.35 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
4.20 23.8% 3.92 25.5% 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8%
X 3.60 27.8% 4.05 24.7% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%
1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.80 35.7% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.38 72.5% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5%
1x 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 1.35 74.1%
x2 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 4.20 23.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.56 21.9%
X 2.49 40.2%
2.04 49.0%
Match center
Sutherland Sharks
L W
13.06 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Sutherland Sharks 1:2 Blektaun SitiBlektaun Siti
06.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Sutherland Sharks 2:1 Sen Dzhordzh SeintsSen Dzhordzh Seints
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
APIA Leykhgardt
W W
13.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
APIA Leykhgardt 2:0 Vullongong VulvzVullongong Vulvz
06.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
APIA Leykhgardt 2:0 Menli YunaytedMenli Yunayted
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points