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Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
01.08.2026 01:00 UTC
01.08.2026 01:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

United States U20 - Cuba U20

Football
United States U20
United States U20
- : -
Not started
Cuba U20
Cuba U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Cuba U20 — 54%

Pure model vs market (2 · Cuba U20): model 34% · market 18% Δ +16 pp model estimates above the market

1 · United States U2026.5%
X · draw19.6%
2 · Cuba U2053.9%

Model estimate: win United States U20 26.5%, draw 19.6%, win Cuba U20 53.9%. Model favourite — Cuba U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction United States U20 - Cuba U20 August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: United States U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 4.70 / 2 5.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 62.2%
X 20.2%
2 17.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CONCACAF U20
League table
United States U20
#26 ptsGP 22-0-06:0
ARRAY
Cuba U20
#63 ptsGP 21-0-15:3
ARRAY
Best price across 6 books
1 1.12 Bet365
X 10.00 Betfair
2 29.00 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
United States U20
W-D-L 9-1-0 Scored 3.22 Conceded 0.11 xG 3.66 xGA 0.74
Cuba U20
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.84 Conceded 1.51 xG 1.07 xGA 2.08

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 01:00 UTC
Match center

United States U20 - Cuba U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
United States U20 - 26.5%
Draw - 19.6% draw risk
Cuba U20 - 53.9% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 26.5% / 19.6% / 53.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,486 / 1,499 Marconi S. U20 / St George City U20
RD 185 / 231 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,116-1,855 / 1,037-1,961 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.00 market consensus · weak value +169.3% · model 53.9%
X 4.53 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.47 market consensus · no value · model 26.5%
Double chance
12 1.11 market consensus · no value · model 80.4%
1X 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 46.1%
X2 2.50 market consensus · weak value +83.7% · model 73.5%
Handicap
2 +1 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 0 4.30 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.16 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.74 36.5%
yes 1.40 71.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.08 92.6%
x2 2.50 40.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.95 51.3%
X 2.56 39.1%
4.82 20.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 1.5 1.81 55.3%
Match center
United States U20
W W W D L
25.07 07:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
United States U20 1:0 SD Raiders U20SD Raiders U20
19.07 01:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
United States U20 4:0 Sidney Yunayted U20Sidney Yunayted U20
12.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
United States U20 3:1 VS Uonderers U20VS Uonderers U20
05.07 01:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
United States U20 0:0 Sen Dzhordzh Seints U20
12.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
United States U20 1:2 FK Sidney U20FK Sidney U20
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Cuba U20
D W L W W
25.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
Cuba U20 2:2 Sidney Yunayted U20Sidney Yunayted U20
19.07 01:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
Cuba U20 4:1 Blektaun Siti U20Blektaun Siti U20
05.07 01:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
Cuba U20 1:5 Vullongong Vulvz U20Vullongong Vulvz U20
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
Cuba U20 2:0 VS Uonderers U20VS Uonderers U20
06.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
Cuba U20 4:2 Sidney Olimpik U20Sidney Olimpik U20
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
10 Points