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Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
01.08.2026 04:30 UTC
01.08.2026 04:30 UTC
Not started

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

Sydney United - NWS Spirit U20

Football
Sydney United
Sydney United
- : -
Not started
NWS Spirit U20
NWS Spirit U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sydney United — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sydney United): model 35% · market 47% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sydney United51.8%
X · draw19.9%
2 · NWS Spirit U2028.3%

Model estimate: win Sydney United 51.8%, draw 19.9%, win NWS Spirit U20 28.3%. Model favourite — Sydney United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sydney United - NWS Spirit U20 August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sydney United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 4.01 / 2 2.99

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 46.9%
X 22.7%
2 30.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 04:30 UTC
Market 1 46.9% @ 1.94 / X 22.7% @ 4.01 / 2 30.4% @ 2.99
Match center

Sydney United - NWS Spirit U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sydney United - 51.8% model pick
Draw - 19.9% draw risk
NWS Spirit U20 - 28.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.8% / 19.9% / 28.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,420 / 1,611 Sydney United / NWS Spirit U20
RD 180 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,061-1,779 / 1,225-1,997 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.97 market consensus · no value · model 28.3%
X 4.01 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.92 market consensus · no value · model 51.8%
Double chance
12 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 80.1%
1X 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 71.7%
X2 1.67 market consensus · no value · model 48.2%
Handicap
2 0 2.35 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.35 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.29 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 3.29 30.4%
yes 1.29 77.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.27 78.7%
x2 1.67 59.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.38 42.0%
X 2.57 38.9%
3.34 29.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 1.5 1.87 53.5%
Match center
Sydney United
D L W D D
25.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
Sydney United 2:2 Sent-Dzhordzh Siti U20Sent-Dzhordzh Siti U20
19.07 01:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
Sydney United 0:4 Marconi S. U20Marconi S. U20
12.07 04:30 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
Sydney United 1:0 Rokdeyl Ilinden U20Rokdeyl Ilinden U20
05.07 01:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
Sydney United 0:0 Blektaun Siti U20Blektaun Siti U20
12.06 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
Sydney United 2:2 Menli Yunayted U20Menli Yunayted U20
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
NWS Spirit U20
W L W D W
25.07 07:45 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
NWS Spirit U20 4:3 VS Uonderers U20VS Uonderers U20
18.07 07:15 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
NWS Spirit U20 1:3 UNSW U20UNSW U20
11.07 07:45 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
NWS Spirit U20 5:1 Sen Dzhordzh Seints U20
05.07 01:00 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
NWS Spirit U20 1:1 Rokdeyl Ilinden U20Rokdeyl Ilinden U20
13.06 07:45 UTC Australia: NPL NSW U20 Standings
NWS Spirit U20 4:2 Sidney Olimpik U20Sidney Olimpik U20
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
10 Points