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01.08.2026 00:30 UTC
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01.08.2026 00:30 UTC
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Australia. U23. Queensland. Premier League
Magic United U23 - Olimpik FK U23
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Not started
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Magic United U23 — 72%
Pure model vs market (1 · Magic United U23): model 60% · market 17% Δ +43 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Magic United U23 72.3%, draw 15.9%, win Olimpik FK U23 11.8%. Model favourite — Magic United U23.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Magic United U23 - Olimpik FK U23 August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Olimpik FK U23. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.40 / X 5.10 / 2 1.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 ✓ Pick
16.9%
X
17.9%
2
65.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Magic United U23 - Olimpik FK U23
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Magic United U23
-
72.3%
model pick
Draw
-
15.9%
draw risk
Olimpik FK U23
-
11.8%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
72.3% / 15.9% / 11.8%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,613 / 1,316
Magic United U23 / Olimpik FK U23
RD
210 / 209
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,194-2,032 / 897-1,735
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.40
market consensus · no value · model 11.8%
X
5.10
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
5.40
market consensus · weak value +290.4% · model 72.3%
Both teams to score
No
2.78
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.39
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.78 36.0% |
| yes | 1.39 71.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.40 18.5% | |
| X | 2.85 35.1% |
| 1.74 57.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.79 55.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.91 52.4% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.95 51.3% |
Match center
Magic United U23
W
L
L
W
Magic United U23
4:1
Istern Saberbs U23
Istern Saberbs U23
Magic United U23
1:6
Moreton City Excelsior U23
Moreton City Excelsior U23
Magic United U23
0:2
Gold Koast U23
Gold Koast U23
Magic United U23
2:1
QLD State Team U17
QLD State Team U17
2
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
2.5
Conceded
6
Points
Olimpik FK U23
L
L
W
L
Olimpik FK U23
1:2
QLD State Team U17
QLD State Team U17
Olimpik FK U23
1:7
Gold Koast U23
Gold Koast U23
Olimpik FK U23
2:1
Kvinslend Layons U23
Kvinslend Layons U23
Olimpik FK U23
0:3
Gold-Kost Nayts U23
Gold-Kost Nayts U23
1
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
3.3
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMagic United U23 - Olimpik FK U23
Magic United U23
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Magic United U23 - Olimpik FK U23 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form