Match center
Start
05.07.2026 06:00 UTC
05.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished
New Zealand. National League. Southern League
Brisbane City (w) - Nelson Suburbs
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Brisbane City (w) - Nelson Suburbs July 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Brisbane City (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / X 4.10 / 2 14.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 22.4%
1
74.2%
X
19.9%
2
5.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Brisbane City (w)
Well rested- Rest days: 5
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Nelson Suburbs
Well rested- Rest days: 5
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Match center
Brisbane City (w) - Nelson Suburbs
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.96
market consensus · line only
X
4.10
Fonbet · line only
1
1.10
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.17
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X2
4.90
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
2.19
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.19
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.61
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.19 45.7% |
| yes | 1.61 62.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.17 85.5% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.52 65.8% | 1.61 62.1% | 4.90 20.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.82 35.5% | |
| X | 2.07 48.3% |
| 3.69 27.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.96 51.0% |
Match center
Brisbane City (w)
W
D
Brisbane City (w)
6:0
Souths Strikers (Zh)
Souths Strikers (Zh)
Brisbane City (w)
1:1
Kvinslend Layons (Zh)
Kvinslend Layons (Zh)
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
3.5
Scored
0.5
Conceded
4
Points
Nelson Suburbs
D
W
Nelson Suburbs
0:0
Gold Koast Yunayted (Zh)
Gold Koast Yunayted (Zh)
Nelson Suburbs
3:0
Capalaba (Zh)
Capalaba (Zh)
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.5
Scored
0.0
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBrisbane City (w) - Nelson Suburbs
Brisbane City (w)
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals