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New Zealand. National League. Southern League
New Zealand. National League. Southern League
31.07.2026 07:30 UTC
31.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Not started

New Zealand. National League. Southern League

Gold Coast Knights (w) - Railway Athletic

Football
Gold Coast Knights (w)
Gold Coast Knights (w)
- : -
Not started
Railway Athletic
Railway Athletic
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Gold Coast Knights (w) — 47%

Pure model vs market (1 · Gold Coast Knights (w)): model 42% · market 47% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Gold Coast Knights (w)46.5%
X · draw25.9%
2 · Railway Athletic27.6%

Model estimate: win Gold Coast Knights (w) 46.5%, draw 25.9%, win Railway Athletic 27.6%. Model favourite — Gold Coast Knights (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.43) Score 1:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.43)
  • • edge over the line +21 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gold Coast Knights (w) - Railway Athletic July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Gold Coast Knights (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.50 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 46.8%
X 26.2%
2 27.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

Gold Coast Knights (w) - Railway Athletic

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gold Coast Knights (w) 46.8% 46.5% market and model agree
Draw 26.2% 25.9% draw risk
Railway Athletic 27.0% 27.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.5% / 25.9% / 27.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,757 / 1,813 Gold Coast Knights (w) / Railway Athletic
RD 197 / 157 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,364-2,150 / 1,500-2,126 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.36 market consensus · no value · model 27.6%
X 3.43 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.94 market consensus · no value · model 46.5%
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Leon
Over 2.5 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 2.5 1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Leon
1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0%
X 3.37 29.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.44 29.1%
3.37 29.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.36 29.8%
Match center
Gold Coast Knights (w)
L W W D W
29.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Gold Coast Knights (w) 0:2 Kvinslend Layons (Zh)Kvinslend Layons (Zh)
25.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Gold Coast Knights (w) 4:2 Souths Strikers (Zh)Souths Strikers (Zh)
17.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Gold Coast Knights (w) 6:0 FQ Academy QAS (Zh)FQ Academy QAS (Zh)
11.07 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Gold Coast Knights (w) 1:1 Olimpik FK (Zh)Olimpik FK (Zh)
08.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Gold Coast Knights (w) 13:0 Souths Strikers (Zh)Souths Strikers (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
4.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Railway Athletic
W W D W W
24.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Railway Athletic 3:0 Olimpik FK (Zh)Olimpik FK (Zh)
18.07 07:00 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Railway Athletic 3:2 Kvinslend Layons (Zh)Kvinslend Layons (Zh)
14.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Railway Athletic 1:1 Gold Koast Yunayted (Zh)Gold Koast Yunayted (Zh)
11.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Railway Athletic 2:1 Sanshayn-Kost Uondererz (Zh)Sanshayn-Kost Uondererz (Zh)
05.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Railway Athletic 1:0 Istern Saberbs (Zh)Istern Saberbs (Zh)
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points