Friendly. Clubs
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Gold Coast Knights (w) — 47%
Pure model vs market (1 · Gold Coast Knights (w)): model 42% · market 47% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Gold Coast Knights (w) 46.5%, draw 25.9%, win Railway Athletic 27.6%. Model favourite — Gold Coast Knights (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Bettery | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.76 56.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Bettery | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.93 51.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.96 51.0% | |
| X | 3.37 29.7% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.44 29.1% |
| 3.37 29.7% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.36 29.8% |
Gold Coast Knights (w)
Kvinslend Layons (Zh)
Souths Strikers (Zh)
FQ Academy QAS (Zh)
Olimpik FK (Zh)
Railway Athletic
Olimpik FK (Zh)
Kvinslend Layons (Zh)
Gold Koast Yunayted (Zh)
Sanshayn-Kost Uondererz (Zh)
Istern Saberbs (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyGold Coast Knights (w) - Railway Athletic
The Gold Coast Knights (w) - Railway Athletic breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
