PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Australia. North New South Wales. National Premier League
Australia. North New South Wales. National Premier League
30.07.2026 01:00 UTC
30.07.2026 01:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. North New South Wales. National Premier League

Edgeworth Eagles - Belmont Swansea Utd.

Football
Edgeworth Eagles
Edgeworth Eagles
- : -
Finished
Belmont Swansea Utd.
Belmont Swansea Utd.
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Edgeworth Eagles — 49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Edgeworth Eagles): model 61% · market 47% Δ +14 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Edgeworth Eagles49.1%
X · draw23.4%
2 · Belmont Swansea Utd.27.4%

Model estimate: win Edgeworth Eagles 49.1%, draw 23.4%, win Belmont Swansea Utd. 27.4%. Model favourite — Edgeworth Eagles.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Edgeworth Eagles (odds1.92) Score 1:0 (odds10.51) confidence 50%
  • • (football)
  • • Model backs Edzhuort Iglz: probability 50% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0 (odds 10.51).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Edgeworth Eagles - Belmont Swansea Utd. July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Edgeworth Eagles.

Line favourite market consensus: Edgeworth Eagles. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.79 / 2 3.13
  • 1X2 market: Edgeworth Eagles 47.1% / X 24.0% / Belmont Swansea Utd. 29.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.4%
1 47.2%
X 23.9%
2 28.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Northern NSW NPL
League table
Edgeworth Eagles
#520 ptsGP 125-5-225:21
LWDDW
Belmont Swansea Utd.
#325 ptsGP 147-4-334:27
WLDDW
Best price across 11 books
1 1.96 Dafabet
X 4.00 Bet365
2 3.40 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Edgeworth Eagles 2 : 2 Belmont Swansea Utd.
11.94
X3.72
23.16

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 01:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Edgeworth Eagles 49%
💹 Market Edgeworth Eagles 4709%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Edgeworth Eagles - Belmont Swansea Utd.

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Edgeworth Eagles 48.4% 49.1% market and model agree
Draw 23.7% 23.4% draw risk
Belmont Swansea Utd. 27.9% 27.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.1% / 23.4% / 27.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,646 / 1,307 Edgeworth Eagles / Belmont Swansea Utd.
RD 220 / 197 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,207-2,085 / 912-1,702 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.13 market consensus · no value · model 27.4%
X 3.79 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.92 market consensus · no value · model 49.1%
Handicap
2 0 2.40 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
X 3.72 26.9% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0%
3.16 31.7% 2.88 34.7% 3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.13 32.0% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.72 36.8%
yes 1.40 71.4%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 19.00 5.3%
0_1 13.00 7.7%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 36.00 2.8%
0_4 90.00 1.1%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 10.00 10.0%
1_1 7.00 14.3%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 9.00 11.1%
1_3 17.00 5.9%
1_4 50.00 2.0%
1_5 100.00 1.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.42 41.3%
X 2.40 41.7%
3.56 28.1%
Match center
Edgeworth Eagles
W W L
26.07 01:00 UTC Australia: NPL Severnyy Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Edgeworth Eagles 2:0 Nyukasl OlimpikNyukasl Olimpik
03.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL Severnyy Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Edgeworth Eagles 2:1 KahibahKahibah
13.06 04:30 UTC Australia: NPL Severnyy Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Edgeworth Eagles 0:1 Kuks Khill YunaytedKuks Khill Yunayted
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
6 Points
Belmont Swansea Utd.
L L D W
26.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Severnyy Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Belmont Swansea Utd. 1:3 KahibahKahibah
22.07 07:00 UTC Australia: NPL Severnyy Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Belmont Swansea Utd. 2:5 Nyukasl OlimpikNyukasl Olimpik
13.06 02:00 UTC Australia: NPL Severnyy Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Belmont Swansea Utd. 2:2 Weston BearsWeston Bears
05.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL Severnyy Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Belmont Swansea Utd. 2:1 Kuks Khill YunaytedKuks Khill Yunayted
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.8 Conceded
4 Points